SaskEnergy Third Quarter Report - December 31, 2017
SASKENERGY INCORPORATED
THIRD QUARTER REPORT December 31, 2017
TABLE OF CONTENTS VISION, MISSION AND VALUES
As a Crown corporation, SaskEnergy is committed to ensuring that all corporate activities align with the Government of Saskatchewan’s Crown Sector Strategic Priorities and the Saskatchewan Plan for Growth. Providing safe, reliable, high quality service to its customers is critically important to the Corporation – as is the provision of infrastructure necessary for the Province to grow and prosper.
VISION To create a competitive advantage for Saskatchewan through safe, innovative energy solutions.
MISSION Our team of engaged employees and business partners develops and delivers safe, reliable natural gas solutions that benefit our customers and Saskatchewan.
VALUES Community
Integrity
Communication
Safety
Accountability
Recognition
Spirit
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Financial and Operating Highlights
2
Management’s Discussion and Analysis
3
Introduction
3 3 4 9 9
Industry Overview
Consolidated Financial Results Liquidity and Capital Resources
Capital Expenditures
Outlook
10
Consolidated Financial Statements
12
Condensed Consolidated Statement of Financial Position Condensed Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income Condensed Consolidated Statement of Changes in Equity Condensed Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows Notes to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements
12 13 15 16 17
FINANCIAL AND OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS
SaskEnergy Incorporated First Quarter Report
March 31, 2011 Nine months ended December 31
Three months ended December 31
2017
2016
2017
2016
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS ($ millions)
Total revenue
271
233
582
497
Total expenses
203
162
518
366
Consolidated net income
68
71
64
131
Market value adjustments
(8)
(26)
(7)
(96)
Income before unrealized market value adjustments
60
45
57
35
Other Comprehensive Income
2
-
1
-
Comprehensive Income
62 16
45 14
58 16
35 14
Dividends
Cash provided by operating activities
61
39
173
120
Capital expenditures
81
72
183
156
Total assets
2,652
2,575
Total net debt
1,271
1,250
Debt ratio
58.4%
59.3%
OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS
Distribution Volumes distributed (petajoules) Residential/Farm
15 10 41 66
13 10 32
21 17
19 17 92
Commercial
Industrial
102 140
Total
55
128
Weather (compared to last 30 years)
6% colder
5% warmer
2% colder
8% warmer
Transmission Volumes transported (petajoules) Domestic
95
89
220
213
Export
5
1
24
16
Total
100
90
244
229
2
2017-18 THIRD QUARTER REPORT
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION & ANALYSIS
INTRODUCTION
The Management’s Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) highlights the primary factors that affected SaskEnergy’s consolidated financial condition and performance for the nine months ended December 31, 2017. Using financial and operating results as its basis, the MD&A describes the Corporation’s past performance and future prospects, enabling readers to view SaskEnergy from the perspective of management. This MD&A is presented as at February 14, 2018 and should be read in conjunction with the Corporation’s condensed consolidated financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with International Accounting Standard (IAS) 34 Interim Financial Reporting using accounting policies consistent with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). For additional information related to the Corporation, refer to SaskEnergy’s 2016-17 Annual Report. The following discussion contains certain forward-looking statements that are subject to inherent uncertainties and risks, which are described in the Risk Management and Disclosure section of SaskEnergy’s 2016-17 Annual Report. All forward-looking statements reflect the Corporation’s best estimates and assumptions based on information available at the time the statements were made. However, actual results and events may vary significantly from those included in, contemplated by, or implied by such statements. The volume of natural gas delivered to customers is sensitive to variations in the weather, particularly through the prime heating season of November to March. Additionally, changes in market value adjustments may cause significant fluctuations in net income due to the volatility of natural gas prices. Therefore, the condensed consolidated financial results for the first nine months of 2017-18 should not be taken as indicative of the performance to be expected for the full year. In order to compare financial performance from period to period, the Corporation uses the following measures: income before unrealized market value adjustments, realized margin on commodity sales, and realized margin on gas marketing sales. Each measure removes the impact of fair value adjustments on financial and derivative instruments and the revaluation of natural gas in storage to the lower of cost and net realizable value. These unrealized market value adjustments vary considerably with the market prices of natural gas, drive significant changes in the Corporation’s consolidated net income, and may obscure other business factors that are also important to understanding the Corporation’s financial results. The measures referred to above are non-IFRS measures, in that there is no standardized definition, and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other entities.
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Natural gas prices are set in an open market and are influenced by a number of factors including production, demand, natural gas storage levels, takeaway capacity and economic conditions. Given the high demand for natural gas to heat homes and businesses during the cold winter months, and the demand for natural gas to produce electricity for air conditioning, weather typically has the greatest impact on natural gas prices in the near term. Due to the high degree of uncertainty associated wi th weather, natural gas prices can be very volatile. Natural gas market fundamentals remain in a strong supply position relative to demand over the last number of years due to the advancements in shale gas production. The AECO monthly index, the benchmark price for natural gas in Western Canada, settled at $2.04 per gigajoule (GJ) for the month of December 2017. Throughout the nine months ended December 31, 2017, market prices fluctuated greatly. During the summer pipeline maintenance in Alberta limited transportation available from AECO to the Saskatchewan border. However, a transformational change occurred in the fall, when the National Energy Board approved a long-term fixed price contract from Empress (Alberta/Saskatchewan border) to Dawn (Ontario) on TransCanada's mainline. This event resulted in any excess transportation capacity in Alberta to the Saskatchewan border quickly being fully contracted. Essentially, TransCanada Pipelines NGTL system in Alberta needs to expand its system capacity in order for more natural gas leave Alberta. Until more NGTL capacity is made available, large volumes of natural gas may be trapped in Alberta. The index declined from $3.07 per GJ at the end of March 2017 to $2.04 per GJ at the end of December 2017. Although this was only a 34% per cent decline in the nine month period as noted in the AECO Monthly Index Historical Prices chart, within this time frame AECO prices were extremely volatile, with prices trading negative (less than $0.00/GJ) on a few days. Traditionally most natural gas in Saskatchewan had been priced at a differential to the AECO price and typically traded between $0.05 per GJ and $0.20 per GJ higher than AECO. However, with the NGTL system constrained, AECO – TEP differentials were much higher and volatile, resulting in TEP natural gas trading anywhere between $0.60/GJ and more than $10/GJ higher than AECO prices on rare occasions this winter.
3
2017-18 THIRD QUARTER REPORT
SaskEnergy Incorporated First Quarter Report
March 31, 2011
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL RESULTS
Consolidated Net Income
Three months ended December 31
Nine months ended December 31
(millions)
2017
2016 Change
2017
2016 Change
Income (Loss) before unrealized market value adjustments Impact of fair value adjustments Revaluation of natural gas in storage
$
58 10
$
45 13 13
$
13
$
57 14
$
35 69 27
$
22
(3)
(55) (34)
-
(13)
(7)
Consolidated net income (loss)
$
68
$
71
$
(3)
$
64
$
131
$
(67)
Net income before unrealized market value adjustments was $57 million for the nine months ended December 31, 2017, $22 million favourable compared to the $35 million net income in 2016, due primarily to the net reversal of a $15 million impairment taken on non-core storage assets. The non-core storage assets are transferring from a single cash generating unit, into a larger cash generating unit of storage assets, a result of changing corporate strategy. Other storage and processing assets remain impaired. In general, the long term market price of natural gas is trending a slight increase, which means that there are constrained price differentials between current and forward market prices and limited opportunities to use storage to generate gas marketing margins. This is resulting in the continued impairment of the remaining non-core storage, treatment, gathering and energy service assets. The Corporation may be able to take advantage of the TCPL mainline through diversions to other locations when capacity is underutilized which would extend the favourable gas marketing results through the last quarter. With respect to core operations, the delivery rate increases effective November 1, 2016, and November 1, 2017 combined with increased transportation loads will continue to contribute to higher delivery revenue compared to 2016. A large portion of SaskEnergy’s revenue is dependent on customer’s use of natural gas to heat their premises. Weather was 2 per cent colder than normal through the nine months ending December 31, 2017 compared to 8 per cent warmer than normal for the same period in 2016. This also contributed to higher delivery revenue. Both operating and maintenance, and depreciation have
4
2017-18 THIRD QUARTER REPORT
SaskEnergy Incorporated First Quarter Report increased compared to 2016, a result of the Corporation’s increased investment in natural gas infrastructure and growth in customer base. Continued cost management efforts have resulted in employee benefit cost reductions of $2 million from the prior year. Net income was also favourably affected by the recognition of insurance proceeds in the first quarter that related to an incident at the Prud’homme storage caverns in 2014. March 31, 2011 During April through December 2017, higher priced natural gas purchase contracts related to the Corporation’s commodity business were settled, which had a favourable impact on unrealized fair value adjustments. Also, during the same period, the AECO near-month natural gas spot price declined from $3.07 per GJ at the end of March 2017 to $2.04 per GJ. The net effect of expiring contracts that were out of the money, partially offset by the impact of lower market prices on outstanding contracts, generated a $15 million favourable unrealized fair value adjustment. When natural gas market prices decreased through the nine months ended December 31, 2017, the unfavourable net realizable value adjustment to gas in storage at the end of March 2017 increased by $7 million, resulting in an unfavourable impact on the Corporation’s consolidated net income.
Natural Gas Sales and Purchases
Included within natural gas sales and purchases are rate-regulated commodity sales to distribution customers and non- regulated gas marketing activities. IFRS requires these activities to be presented together within the consolidated financial statements; however, the Corporation manages these activities as distinct and separate businesses and, as such, the MD&A addresses these natural gas sales and purchases separately. In the third quarter of 2016, the Corporation started to identify certain natural gas purchase contracts as own-use contracts. The Corporation enters into these contracts to acquire the natural gas it needs to meet expected sales to commodity customers. These non-financial derivative contracts are not recorded at fair value, rather, the contracts are accounted for as a purchase at the time of delivery. Natural gas contracts, not identified as own-use purchases, are classified as derivative instruments, which are recorded at fair value until their settlement date. Changes in the fair value of the derivative instruments, driven by changes in future natural gas prices, are recorded in net income through natural gas sales or natural gas purchases depending on the specific contract. Upon settlement of the natural gas contract, the amount paid or received by SaskEnergy becomes realized and is recorded in natural gas sales or purchases.
Commodity Margin
SaskEnergy sells natural gas to its distribution customers at a commodity rate approved by Provincial Cabinet based on the recommendations of the Saskatchewan Rate Review Panel. The commodity rate, which is reviewed in April and November of each year, is determined based on rate-setting principles and is designed to recover the realized costs associated with natural gas sold to distribution customers without earning a profit. Regulatory principles require that utilities do not earn a profi t or realize losses on the sale of natural gas to customers over the long term. SaskEnergy accumulates differences between the commodity revenue earned and the cost of natural gas sold in a Gas Cost Variance Account (GCVA). The balance in the GCVA, which is not included in SaskEnergy’s financial statements, is either recovered from, or refunded to customers as part of future commodity rates. Consequently, lower commodity margins in one year are often followed by higher commodity margins in the subsequent year. For financial reporting purposes, the Corporation prepares its financial statements on a consolidated basis while applying IFRS. As a result, the amounts determined for rate-setting purposes are different than those reported within its consolidated financial statements. The most notable differences are the elimination of intercompany costs in the preparation of the consolidated financial statements and how derivative instrument settlements are recognized in the cost of gas. A gain or loss reported in the Corporation’s consolidated financial statements may not indicate a similar adjustment in the GCVA.
Three months ended
Nine months ended December 31
December 31
(millions)
2017
2016 Change
2017
2016 Change
Commodity sales
$
81
$
80
$
1
$
119
$
125
$
(6)
Commodity purchases 1
(65)
(67)
2 3
(100)
(110)
10
Realized margin on commodity sales Impact of fair value adjustments
16
13 29
19
15 82
4
(7)
(36)
(5)
(87)
Margin on commodity sales
$
9
$
42
$
(33)
$
14
$
97
$
(83)
1 Net of change in inventory
SaskEnergy’s natural gas price risk management program has two objectives: to reduce the impact of natural gas price volatility on the cost of gas and to support rates that are competitive with other utilities. The two objectives naturally oppose each other. Reducing the impact of price volatility requires establishing certainty in the cost of gas, while supporting competitive rates often means allowing purchase prices to follow market prices. As a result, the balance between the two objectives may change depending on current market conditions.
5
2017-18 THIRD QUARTER REPORT
SaskEnergy Incorporated First Quarter Report In order to ensure a secure supply of natural gas, SaskEnergy contracts for the physical delivery of natural gas using non- financial derivatives, referred to as forward or physical natural gas contracts. The purchase price contained in these forward contracts may be fixed, or it may be based on a variable index price. While fixed price contracts reduce the impact of natural gas price volatility, variable or market prices can assist in offering competitive rates depending on the pricing environment. SaskEnergy uses financial derivatives and physical swaps to manage the future purchase price of natural gas. Identifying own-use natural gas purchase contracts reduces the variability of fair value adjustments in the Corporation’s financial statements. SaskEnergy’s price risk management strategy will govern purchases not identified as own-use purchases to reduce the impact of price changes on realized gas purchase costs which add to the variability in fair value adjustments. March 31, 2011 The realized margin on commodity sales excludes the impact of unrealized fair value adjustments on derivative instruments, as these adjustments can fluctuate significantly from one period to the next and do not necessarily represent the amount that will be paid upon settlement of the related natural gas contract. On a consolidated basis, the Corporation realized a $19 million margin on commodity sales for the nine months ending December 31, 2017, $4 million above the same period in 2016. Average revenue was $3.41 per GJ and average cost of gas sold was $2.89 per GJ during April through December 31, 2017, resulting in a margin of $0.52 per GJ. This compared to an average commodity margin of $0.41 per GJ through the same period in 2016. Margins were lower in 2016 primarily due to the sale of excess gas, a result of a much warmer than normal 2015-16 winter, at prices below the average cost of gas. Slightly higher volumes sold in 2017 (35 PJs) also contributed to the higher margin in 2017 as there was 34 PJs sold in the same period of 2016.
A $16 million favourable margin for the three months ending December 31, 2017 was $3 million higher than the $13 million favourable margin in 2016, due to declining market prices resulting in a lower average cost of gas than in 2016.
Commodity Fair Value Adjustments
The fair value adjustments at the end of December 31, 2017 reduced the margin on commodity sales by $5 million as the $35 million unfavourable fair value position at March 31, 2017 declined to $40 million unfavourable. A higher volume of natural gas contracts outstanding at December 31, 2017 was the primary driver contributing to the unfavourable effect.
Gas Marketing Margin
SaskEnergy uses its access to natural gas markets to execute purchases and sales of natural gas to generate margins. By utilizing off peak transportation and storage capacity, SaskEnergy is able to take advantage of pricing differentials between transportation hubs and time periods while minimizing its exposure to price risk. Its primary strategy is to purchase and inject gas when prices are relatively low, and sell the gas in the future when prices are higher. In most cases the purchases and sales are executed at the same time, thereby mitigating much of the price risk that would normally be associated with such transactions.
Three months ended
Nine months ended December 31
December 31
(millions)
2017
2016 Change
2017
2016 Change
Gas marketing sales
$
66
$
41
$
25
$
169
$
113
$
56
Gas marketing purchases 1
(60)
(41)
(19)
(151)
(102)
(49)
Realized margin on gas marketing sales Impact of fair value adjustments Revaluation of natural gas in storage
6
-
6
18 19
11
7
17
(11)
28
(12)
31
-
13
(13)
(7)
27
(34)
Margin on gas marketing sales
$
23
$
2
$
21
$
30
$
26
$
4
1 Net of change in inventory
The realized margin on gas marketing sales at December 31, 2017, which removes fair value adjustments on derivative instruments and the revaluation of natural gas in storage, was $18 million and $6 million for the nine and three month periods respectively. This was $7 million and $6 million higher than the same periods in 2016. The Corporation increased its gas marketing activity in response to the natural gas price volatility created by disruptions on the NGTL transmission system. This resulted in the Corporation selling higher volumes of natural gas at higher margins compared to the same period in 2016. The Corporation sold 72 PJs in 2017 compared to 49 PJs in the same period of 2016.
Gas Marketing Fair Value Adjustments
The Corporation enters into various natural gas contracts (swaps, options and forwards) in its gas marketing strategies, which are subject to volatility of natural gas market prices. The fair value adjustment at December 31, 2017 on gas marketing derivative instruments increased the gas marketing margin by $19 million for the nine month period. The December 31, 2017, AECO near month price dropped $1.03 per GJ to $2.04 per GJ compared to March 31, 2017, resulting in a favourable impact on gas marketing natural gas sales contracts. Also contributing to the favourable impact on the gas marketing margin was the Corporation’s ability to take advantage of a brief decline in market prices by purchasing lower priced natural gas purchase
6
2017-18 THIRD QUARTER REPORT
contracts before the market slightly recovered at the end of December 31, 2017. At the end of December 2017, the volume of outstanding contracts was 104 PJs higher than at March 31, 2017.
SaskEnergy Incorporated First Quarter Report Revaluation of Natural Gas in Storage
March 31, 2011
At each reporting period, the Corporation measures the net realizable value of gas marketing natural gas in storage based on forward market prices and anticipated delivery dates. The carrying amount of natural gas in storage is adjusted to reflect the lower of weighted average cost and net realizable value. In recent years, low natural gas prices have translated to reduced prices on the forward price curve. As much of the natural gas in storage is held to meet future sales contracts, it is not unusual to see net realizable value adjustments on gas in storage offset the impact of fair value changes. The declining market price environment in the nine months ending December 31, 2017 had both favourable and unfavourable impacts on financial results. The Corporation was able to purchase lower priced natural gas and inject it into storage, reducing the average cost of gas in storage. However, the decrease in natural gas market prices at December 31, 2017 reduced the net realizable value by an additional $7 million compared to the end of March 2017.
Revenue
Three months ended December 31
Nine months ended December 31
(millions)
2017
2016 Change
2017
2016 Change
Delivery revenue
$
85 34
$
77 34
$
8
$
170 102
$
154
$
16
Transportation and storage revenue Customer capital contributions
-
99 17
3
7 2
9 2
(2)
15
(2) (2)
Other revenue
-
5
7
$
128
$
122
$
6
$
292
$
277
$
15
Delivery Revenue
Delivery Revenue is driven by the number of customers and the amount of natural gas they consume. As residential and commercial customers consume natural gas primarily as heating fuel, weather is the factor that most affects delivery revenue. Delivery revenue was $170 million and $85 million for the nine months and three months ending December 2017 respectively, $16 million and $8 million higher than the same periods in 2016. Rate increases effective November 1, 2016 and 2017 contributed to the higher revenues. The rate increases were a response to rising operating costs related to expanding natural gas infrastructure and continued focus on safety and integrity programs that address the aging infrastructure and increasing regulatory requirements.
Weather
1, 200
1, 000
YTD 2017-18 - 2% colder than normal YTD 2016-17 - 8% warmer than normal
800
600
400
200
-
Apr May Jun Jul
Aug Sep Oc t Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
2017-18 Act ual
2016-17 Act ual
2017-18 Budget
Transportation and Storage Revenue
The Corporation generates transportation revenue by taking delivery of gas from customers at various receipt points in Saskatchewan and Alberta, and delivering natural gas to customers at various delivery points in the Province. The transportation toll structure consists of a receipt service charge that customers pay when they put gas onto the pipeline transportation system, and a delivery service charge, which customers pay when they take delivery off of the pipeline transportation system. Gas delivered to the system by customers is considered to be part of the TransGas Energy Pool (a notional point where producers, marketers and end-users can match supplies to demand) until it is delivered to the end-use customer. For receipt and delivery services, the Corporation offers both firm and interruptible transportation. Under a firm service contract, the customer has a right to deliver or receive a specified quantity of gas on each day of the contract. With a firm contract, customers pay for the amount of capacity they have contracted for whether they use it or not. Under an interruptible contract, customers may deliver or receive gas only when there is available capacity on the system and pay receipt and delivery tolls when they deliver or receive gas. Transportation and storage revenue was $102 million for the nine months ending December 31, 2017, $3 million higher than the same period in 2016, while revenue was $34 million for the three months ending December 31, 2017 and equaled the same period in 2016. Industrial customer and power generation related load growth continues to increase demand for natural gas within the province and is driving higher transportation revenue.
7
2017-18 THIRD QUARTER REPORT
Customer Capital Contributions
SaskEnergy Incorporated First Quarter Report The Corporation receives capital contributions from customers to partially offset the cost of constructing facilities to connect them to the transmission and distribution systems. Generally, contributions related to transmission system projects tend to be larger but less frequent than contributions related to distribution system projects. The volume and magnitude of customer contribution revenue can vary significantly period-over-period as their receipt and recognition as revenue is primarily driven by customer activity. The contributions received, less potential refunds, are recognized as revenue once the related property, plant and equipment is available for use. The Corporation may refund a customer for some or all of the contributions they make depending on how much gas they consume or transport through the system. The amount of contributions expected to be refunded is estimated and recorded in deferred revenue until the eligible refund period expires or a refund is earned by the customer. Customer capital contribution revenue for the nine months and three months ending December 31, 2017 were $2 million lower than the same periods in 2016. March 31, 2011
Other Revenue
Other revenue primarily consists of gas processing fees and natural gas liquid sales from two natural gas liquid extraction plants. Compression and gathering service revenue and royalty revenues comprise the remaining balance of other revenue. Royalty revenues are generated from a gross overriding royalty on several natural gas-producing properties in Saskatchewan and Alberta, which have diminished due to the continuing decline of conventional natural gas production and as a result of low natural gas prices. Other revenue of $5 million is lower than prior year as a safety shut down during 2017 at one of the Corporation’s natural gas processing plants decreased revenue in comparison to the same nine month period in 2016.
Other Expenses and Net Finance Expense
Three months ended
Nine months ended December 31
December 31
(millions)
2017
2016 Change
2017
2016 Change
Employee benefits
$
20 33 25
$
21 34 24
$
(1) (1)
$
60
$
62 95 71
$
(2)
Operating and maintenance Depreciation and amortization
100
5 3 1
1
74 10
Saskatchewan taxes
2
2
-
9
Other Expenses
$
80
$
81
$
(1)
$
244
$
237
$
7
Net finance expense
$
12
$
12
$
-
$
36
$
34
$
2
Other gains (losses)
$
-
$
3
$
(3)
$
8
$
3
$
5
Expenditures on safety and integrity initiatives, strong customer growth, and the need to import more natural gas from Alberta as Saskatchewan natural gas production declines are key factors contributing to higher expenses. Employee benefits expense of $60 million for the nine months ending December 31, 2017 were $2 million lower than the same period in 2016. The Corporation continues to manage vacant positions and overtime costs through productivity and efficiency initiatives. Operating and maintenance expense of $100 million are $5 million higher than the same period in 2016, due to rising third party pipeline transportation costs as additional cross border transportation capacity is required to import gas from Alberta. This was partially offset by continued cost management initiatives. Depreciation and amortization of $74 million for the nine months ending December 31, 2017 slightly increased above prior year as capital additions increase the asset base. Net finance expenses, before the impact of fair value adjustments, were $2 million higher than the same period in 2016. During the nine months ending December 31, 2017, SaskEnergy issued $121 million of long term debt which was used to reduce short term debt balances and repay $59 million of maturing long term debt. Effective April 1, 2017, the Corporation early adopted IFRS 9 Financial Instruments. Under the new financial instruments standard, debt retirement funds are classified as fair value through other comprehensive income. As a result any market value adjustments associated with debt retirement funds no longer impact net income as they are recorded in other comprehensive income. Other gains (losses) through the first three quarters of 2017 of $8 million were $5 million higher than the same period in 2016. The reversal of a $15 million impairment loss taken on a non-core storage asset is the primary driver of the gains in 2017. The non-core storage asset is transferring from a single cash generating unit and into a larger cash generating unit of storage assets, a result of changing corporate strategy. Other storage and processing assets remain impaired. Employee benefits expense of $20 million for the three months ending December 31, 2017 are $1 million below the same period from prior year, a result of managing vacant positions and overtime costs. Operating and maintenance expense of $33 million for the third quarter are $1 million lower than the same period in 2016, due to an elevated focus on managing operating costs. Depreciation and amortization of $25 million for the three months ending December 31, 2017 is $1 million higher than
8
2017-18 THIRD QUARTER REPORT
the same period in 2016, as capital additions increase the asset base and depreciation and amortization. Net finance expense of $12 million equaled the same three month period in 2016.
SaskEnergy Incorporated First Quarter Report LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
March 31, 2011
Three months ended
Nine months ended December 31
December 31
(millions)
2017
2016 Change
2017
2016 Change
Cash provided by operating activities Cash used in investing activities Cash provided by financing activities
$
61
$
39
$
22
$
173
$
120
$
53
(79)
(69)
(10)
(183)
(156)
(27) (14)
21
29
(8)
10
24
Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents
$
3
$
(1)
$
4
$
-
$
(12)
$
12
As a Crown corporation, SaskEnergy’s primary sources of capital are cash from operations, debt – which is borrowed through the province’s General Revenue Fund – and equity advances from CIC, the Province’s crown corporation holding company. Equity advances are rarely used to finance Crown corporations as CIC prefers to use its Subsidiary Crown Dividend Policy to manage its equity interests in its commercial enterprises. Cash provided from operations is SaskEnergy’s most important source of capital. As a utility, cash from operations is relatively stable and the Corporation relies upon it to fund dividends, debt servicing costs, and a significant proportion of its investment in pipeline facilities. Long- and short-term debt can be borrowed through the Province of Saskatchewan to meet any long- or short-term incremental capital requirements, and to repay debt as it matures. Sources of liquidity include Order-in-Council authority to borrow up to $500 million in short-term loans, and a $35 million uncommitted line of credit with the Toronto-Dominion Bank. By borrowing through the province, SaskEnergy has access to the province’s borrowing capacity and North American capital markets. The SaskEnergy Act allows the Corporation to borrow up to $1,700 million.
Operating Activities
Cash from operating activities of $173 million for the nine months ended December 31, 2017 was $53 million higher than the same period in 2016. Higher delivery revenue and transportation revenue contributed to higher operating cash flows compared to 2016. The Corporation also took advantage of low natural gas market prices by purchasing and injecting lower priced natural gas into storage while managing employee benefit and operating and maintenance costs.
Investing Activities
Cash used in investing activities totaled $183 million for the nine months ended December 31, 2017; $27 million higher than 2016. Capital investment levels are increasing in 2017 compared to 2016, primarily due to higher investment in safety and integrity programming to maintain aging infrastructure and manage increasing regulatory requirements.
Financing Activities
Cash used in financing activities was $10 million during the nine months of 2017 compared to $24 million in 2016. From a cash management perspective, SaskEnergy uses cash from operations to pay for its investing activities, dividend payments and debt servicing costs (including interest payments and sinking fund installments). Any remaining cash from operations is applied to reducing the short-term debt balance. If there is insufficient cash from operations, SaskEnergy will borrow more debt, usually short-term debt, to meet its cash requirements. SaskEnergy issued $119 million of long-term debt at a premium of $2 million during the first two quarters which was used to repay $59 million of maturing debt and $60 million of new long- term debt. SaskEnergy’s debt ratio at December 31, 2017 of 58 per cent is below the 59 per cent at both March 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016.
CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
Three months ended
Nine months ended December 31
December 31
(millions)
2017
2016 Change
2017
2016 Change
Customer growth and system expansion
$
41 28
$
35 30
$
6
$
90 72
$
77 65 10
$
13
Safety and system integrity
(2)
7
Information systems
4 4
4
-
9 8
(1)
Vehicles & equipment, buildings, furniture
-
4 8
2
6
$
77
$
69
$
$
179
$
154
$
25
9
2017-18 THIRD QUARTER REPORT
SaskEnergy Incorporated First Quarter Report SaskEnergy continues to invest in its pipeline system to accommodate growth in the natural gas customer base and its increasing reliance on Alberta Gas to meet load requirements. Capital expenditures of $179 million for the nine months ended December 31, 2017 are $25 million higher than the same period in 2016. Customer growth and system expansion is $13 million above the same period in 2016, a result of higher spending on transmission system growth, specifically, increased spending on two compression expansion projects in the current year. Safety and system integrity capital expenditures are $7 million higher than 2016, primarily due to faster progress on distribution system integrity programs. March 31, 2011
OUTLOOK
With the Corporation’s fiscal period beginning April 1, peak winter heating loads only begin to have a positive impact on the financial results in the third and fourth quarters. Without revenue from heating loads it is not uncommon for SaskEnergy to experience minimal net income and even losses through the first two quarters. Factors that are expected to affect SaskEnergy through the remainder of the year include the growth of the provincial economy, reliance on imported natural gas and interconnected pipeline systems, and Saskatchewan weather conditions through the winter months. Assuming normal weather conditions for the balance of 2017-18, net income before market value adjustments is expected to be approximately $105 million, an increase of $35 million over the 2016-17 actual result. This increase is primarily due to the assumed settlement of the litigation related to the SaskEnergy Place building purchase which would see approximately $12 million in prior lease payments returned to SaskEnergy. In addit ion, 2017-18 has been 2 per cent colder than normal year to date versus 8 per cent warmer than normal in the previous year. This has resulted in higher delivery revenue in 2017-18. The continued growth in natural gas demand combined with declining conventional gas production means that more gas will be imported or acquired from gas production associated with oil production. This shift in source of supply, together with an aging pipeline system and increasing regulatory requirements, will require incremental investments in pipeline facilities. SaskEnergy is projecting to invest approximately $260 million in 2017-18. This additional investment will be funded through cash from operations and an additional $122 million of incremental borrowing. The additional load growth will generate more revenue for the Corporation; however, the investment in infrastructure will also increase operating costs and put pressure on delivery and transportation rates. During the third quarter, SaskEnergy received approval to increase its delivery service rates by an average of 3.6 per cent effective November 1, 2017. The Corporation continues to work with other Crown corporations, and other business enterprises, to investigate technological solutions to more efficiently serve customers and maintain facilities. Since 2009, SaskEnergy has achieved $42 million of operating efficiency savings and another $4 million has been targeted for 2017-18.
Operating Expenses
As the pipeline and distribution system continues to age, and supply shifts from conventional Saskatchewan production to associated gas production and Alberta supply, additional investments are required that do not generate additional revenue. Expenditures to address safety and system integrity do not increase revenues and therefore add pressure to utility rates. Consequently, the average cost of serving customers is expected to rise. Depreciation expense and finance expense are expected to rise by $6 million as a direct result of capital expenditures, while operating expenses (employee obligation costs and operating and maintenance) are expected to rise by $8 million even with projected efficiency savings of $4 million in 2017- 18 and continued focus on cost management efforts. The cost increases are due to rising third-party transportation costs related to importing more natural gas over longer distances to meet growing load requirements. In addition, costs associated with regulatory compliance are also increasing. The Corporation is expecting staffing levels to remain relatively stable through 2017 as efficiencies and productivity gains are realized. SaskEnergy will continue to meet the Province’s growing natural gas requirements while keeping cost increases to a minimum and staffing at efficient levels.
Revenue
Regular and moderate delivery rate increases provide additional delivery revenue to help offset increasing cost pressures resulting from customer growth, integrity investments and the regulatory compliance efforts experienced in recent years. Customer connections, which are closely related to the strength of the provincial economy, were expected to increase modestly to 4,500 new customers through 2017-18. The Corporation is now expecting to connect between 3,800-4,000 new customers during the year. Industrial and commercial demand for service is expected to continue to grow. SaskEnergy currently expects revenue to increase by $37 million in 2017-18, driven by a six per cent increase in load and the delivery rate increase effective November 1, 2017.
10
2017-18 THIRD QUARTER REPORT
Gas Marketing and Commodity Margins
SaskEnergy Incorporated First Quarter Report While long term natural gas prices have slightly decreased from the end of March 2017, near term natural gas prices have declined. Over a longer period, forward gas prices have displayed a flat to slightly increasing trend suggesting that the likelihood of significantly higher prices in the future is low. Current market prices are fairly representative of long term prices, resulting in the differential between current and forward prices being fairly small. This differential is the driver for much of SaskEnergy’s gas marketing activity in the past, with the exception of summer to winter spreads. These market conditions adversely affect the prospect for generating the high margins required to support SaskEnergy’s non-core storage business. The Corporation may be able to take advantage of TCPL mainline through diversions to other locations when capacity is underutilized which would extend the favourable gas marketing results through the last quarter. March 31, 2011 The November 1, 2016 commodity rate reduction to $3.65 per GJ will continue to reduce commodity revenue during 2017-18; however, lower natural gas market prices are expected to reduce the average cost of gas by an equal amount. Consequently, favourable margins are expected to continue through to the end of March 31, 2018 on commodity sales. As part of the normal course of business, commodity rates are reviewed regularly and adjusted as required.
Summary
Although, SaskEnergy’s financial performance is expected to remain strong, there are risks to the outlook. Capital expenditure requirements and rising costs will remain a challenge throughout the forecast period as SaskEnergy adjusts to continued customer load growth, infrastructure renewal requirements, shifting natural gas supply dynamics and regulatory compliance. Delivery and transportation revenue will continue to grow, partially offset by increased operating costs. SaskEnergy will continue to focus on providing safe and reliable service to its customers and investing in safety and growth initiatives while actively seeking operating and capital deployment efficiencies through collaboration and technology initiatives. Weather wil l be a key factor affecting 2017-18 financial results. Forecasted results are based on normal weather as defined by the 30-year average. To the extent that weather is colder than normal, delivery revenue will increase, and to the extent that weather is warmer than normal, delivery revenue will be lower. Assuming weather is not extremely cold, transportation, storage, and other revenue items are typically not impacted by weather, as is the case with operating expenses. Commodity revenue and gas purchases are both affected by weather but typically offset each other.
11
2017-18 THIRD QUARTER REPORT
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
SaskEnergy Incorporated First Quarter Report
March 31, 2011
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION
As at December 31, 2017 (unaudited)
As at March 31, 2017 (audited)
(millions)
Notes
Assets Current assets Cash
$
1
$
1
Trade and other receivables
115
111
Natural gas in storage held for resale
4
80 12
86 12
Inventory of supplies Debt retirement funds
-
7 5
Fair value of derivative instruments
5
36
244
222
Intangible assets
62
60
Property, plant and equipment
2,242
2,129
Debt retirement funds
104
94
$
2,652
$
2,505
Liabilities and Province's equity Current liabilities Short-term debt
$
294 103
$
293 104
Trade and other payables
Dividends payable
16
14 59 32 40
Current portion of long-term debt
7
-
Deferred revenue
40 55
Fair value of derivative instruments
5
508
542
Other payables
11
5 7
Employee future benefits
7
Provisions
129
127
Deferred revenue Long-term debt
6
6
7
1,081 1,742
960
1,647
Province's equity
Equity advances Retained earnings
72
72
838 910
786 858
$
2,652
$
2,505
(See accompanying notes)
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2017-18 THIRD QUARTER REPORT
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (unaudited)
For the Three Months Ended December 31, 2017
For the Three Months Ended December 31, 2016
Income before Unrealized Market Value Adjustments
Unrealized Market Value Adjustments (Note 9)
Income before Unrealized Market Value Adjustments
Unrealized Market Value Adjustments (Note 9)
Total
Total
(millions)
Notes
Revenue Natural gas sales
10
$
147
$
(4)
$
143
$
121
$
(10)
$
111
Delivery
85 34
- - - -
85 34
77 34
- - - -
77 34
Transportation and storage Customer capital contributions
7 2
7 2
9 2
9 2
Other
275
(4)
271
243
(10)
233
Expenses Natural gas purchases (net of change in inventory)
10
125
(14)
111
108
(41)
67 21 34 24
Employee benefits
20 33 25
- - - -
20 33 25
21 34 24
- - - -
Operating and maintenance Depreciation and amortization
Saskatchewan taxes
2
2
2
2
205
(14)
191
189
(41)
148
Income before the following
70
10
80
54
31
85
Finance income Finance expenses
1
- - -
1
1
(5)
(4)
(13) (12)
(13) (12)
(13) (12)
-
(13) (17)
Net finance expenses
(5)
Other gains
-
-
-
3
-
3
Total net income
$
58
$
10
$
68
$
45
$
26
$
71
Change in fair value of debt retirement funds designated as FVOCI
-
2
2
-
-
-
Comprehensive income
$
58
$
12
$
70
$
45
$
26
$
71
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2017-18 THIRD QUARTER REPORT
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