Brandpie Energy - Issue 3

INTRODUCTION

$130tr in assets under management aligned with climate-related investment targets (GFANZ).

50% expansion needed of the global grid by 2050, to achieve net zero.

> SHORT-TERM PERFORMANCE VS. LONG-TERM POSITIONING Capital expenditures on renewables, storage, carbon capture, and clean fuels are large, long-term, and often politically sensitive. There is institutional pressure: with an estimated $130 trillion in assets under management aligned with climate-related investment targets (GFANZ). Passive investors are becoming active stewards, demanding financially credible net-zero plans, not just CSR rhetoric. But here too, uncertainty looms. There is little consensus on what the energy mix will actually look like in 10–20 years, making it challenging for investors and companies alike to apply capital with confidence. The result: a fragmented and imperfect market—rich in ambition, light on deployment. Companies that fail to link their emissions reduction goals to growth strategy and returns on capital risk divestment, shareholder action, or boardroom challenges. INNOVATION VS. EXECUTION RISK Carbon capture, utilization and storage, green hydrogen, and long-duration storage all show promise but require unprecedented scaling, infrastructure, and cost reductions to become commercially viable. There is a large deployment gap with only 10% of the low-carbon infrastructure required by 2050 operational today. Most clean hydrogen capacity planned by 2030 will meet just 5–10% of forecasted demand under net-zero scenarios. And while some technologies generate headlines, their scalability and political backing remain deeply contested. Hydrogen, for example, was long touted as the future of transport but has seen little meaningful commercialization.

Companies are now pulling back funding as other solutions take precedence. Financial markets are skeptical of “moonshot strategies” without clear business models. Transition leaders must demonstrate how they will scale innovation into cash flow and not just pilot projects. To help navigate these tensions and build shareholder value, executives must lead on three fronts: vision, brand positioning, and culture, with investor expectations deeply integrated into each. 1 VISION Anchor in reality, signal ambition STRATEGIC LEADERSHIP FOR THE TRANSITION ERA Vision is not about slogans. It’s a strategic narrative that aligns internal priorities, external messaging, and investor confidence. A credible transition vision should: • Be grounded in physical and financial feasibility (e.g. grid readiness, permitting, commodity exposure). • Include defined milestones and investment stages, not just 2050 targets. • Signal resilience under multiple policy and market scenarios. The market rewards transparency, predictability, and execution discipline. But today’s environment demands a nuanced tone that acknowledges risk and fragmentation, not just ambition. 2 BRAND POSITIONING Decide where you compete—and why As value chains fragment and reform, energy companies must choose their

Leaders must demonstrate how they will scale innovation into cash flow and not just pilot projects.

8 Brandpie Energy - Issue 3

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