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First Pass Model Initial Model : ො𝑦 = መ 𝛽 0 + መ 𝛽 1 𝑋 1 +⋯+ መ 𝛽 11 𝑋 11 Where 𝑋 1 ,…, 𝑋 11 are all 10 predicting variables + time

Model Results: • F Statistic P-value: • Adjusted 𝑅 2 :

Residual assumptions violated: • ϵ i ’s are normally distributed with… • … mean 0 and constant variance • ϵ i ’s are independent

Preliminary residual analysis →

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