ARG 2022 Financial Salary Guide

Key Economic Data

Unemployment Rate

2016 4.7% 4.0% 5.2%

2017 4.1% 3.5% 4.7%

2018 3.9% 2.7% 4.6%

2019 3.5% 2.4% 4.0%

2020 6.7% 9.5%

2021 est.

National

5.0% 6.0% 9.0%

Orange County

LA County

12.3%

Labor Force Participation Rate 2016 2017

2018

2019

2020

2021 est.

National California

62.7% 62.2%

62.7% 62.9%

63.1% 62.4%

63.2% 62.5%

61.5% 60.0%

61.7% 61.2%

Real GDP

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021 est.

Real GDP - Billions $

$17,784

$18,224 $18,752 $19,090 $18,768 $19,400

Real GDP - Annual % Change

1.9%

2.5%

2.9%

1.8%

-1.7%

3.4%

Inflation Measures

2016 1.3%

2017 2.1%

2018 1.9%

2019 2.3%

2020 1.4%

2021 est.

CPI - Annual % Change

5.3%

Interest Rates

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021 est.

Federal Funds Rate

0.75% 3.75% 2.45% 4.30%

1.50% 4.50% 2.58% 4.00%

2.00% 5.35% 2.69% 4.55%

1.55% 4.75% 1.92% 3.73%

0.08% 3.25% 0.93% 2.67%

0.10% 3.25% 1.35% 2.90%

Prime Rate

Treasury Bond, 10-Year

30-Year Mortgage

Housing Starts - US

2016 1,287

2017 1,267 205.7 -1.6% 6.2%

2018 1,142 213.9 -9.9% 4.0%

2019

2020 1,661 242.2 7.4% 10.2%

2021 est.

Housing Starts (thousands)

1,547 219.8 35.5%

1,650 270.0 -0.7% 11.5%

Home Price Index (year 2000 = 100) 193.7

Housing Starts - % Change Home Prices - % Change

11.2%

5.3%

2.8%

34 Financial Salary Guide & Employment Outlook 2022

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