Board of Trustees Meeting Agenda | February 2019

WASHINGTON and CWU ENROLLMENT PROFILES

Washington State Higher Education Outlook Washington continues to experience population growth. The state’s economic growth is expected to exceed national economic growth, although there is uncertainty due to changes in trade and fiscal policy. Job growth is projected to continue.

The average personal income is projected to increase by 5.1% from 2018-2021, which will not keep up with the expected increase of ____ % the cost of higher education.

The changes in numbers and shift in the ethnicity of high school graduates at the national level are amplified at the state level. The below reveals a changing profile of the Washington high school graduate over the next ten years. The number of Hispanic graduates is expected to increase by 72%, from 12,068 in 2015-16 to a projected 20,762.

Washington High School Graduates Actual/Projected 2015-2024

Hispanic - Alone or any race

Non-Hispanic

Hispanic

PUBLIC SCHOOLS TOTAL

White

Black

Amer Indian Alaska Native

Asian/ Pacific Islander )

White %

Black %

Amer Indian/ Alaska Native %

Asian/ Pacific Islander

School Year

2015-16

65,894

12,068

18.3%

44,498

67.5%

2,808

4.3%

719

1.1%

6,107

9.3%

2016-17

64,873

12,385

19.1%

43,698

67.4%

2,728

4.2%

668

1.0%

5,914

9.1%

2017-18

66,606

13,287

19.9%

44,374

66.6%

2,768

4.2%

624

0.9%

6,339

9.5%

2018-19

66,807

14,500

21.7%

43,654

65.3%

2,688

4.0%

581

0.9%

6,463

9.7%

2019-20

65,490

14,710 15,556 6 16,546

22.5%

42,652

65.1%

2,583

3.9%

518

0.8%

6,458

9.9%

2020-21

66,282

23.5%

42,987

64.9%

2,553

3.9%

491

0.7%

6,572

9.9%

2021-22

66,799

24.8%

42,997

64.4%

2,541

3.8%

446

0.7%

6,717

10.1%

2022-23

67,505

17,846

26.4%

43,178

64.0%

2,508

3.7%

408

0.6%

6,727

10.0%

2023-24

68,910

19,162

27.8%

44,183

64.1%

2,610

3.8%

378

0.5%

6,482

9.4%

2024-25

71,343

20,762

29.1%

45,614

63.9%

2,680

3.8%

351

0.5%

6,788

9.5%

Source: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, 2016.

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