Absa AgriTrends 2022

Lamb, Mutton, and Feeder Lamb Prices JAN 2019 – AUG 2022

Average of Class A

Average of Class AB

Average of Class B

Average of Class C

Feeder Lambs

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

Source: Absa AgriBusiness, 2022

For carcass prices, we expect a moderate increasing trend into 2023. This is underpinned by flock rebuilding initiatives that are likely to limit supply over the coming months. For the outer years of the outlook and as with beef, higher economic growth and structural issues negatively impacting supply are likely to further support prices.

Looking Ahead

Feeder lamb prices, in turn, are also likely to follow a modest upward trend over the outlook period. There is some upside risk to this given an increase in exports, with those to the Middle East seemingly gaining momentum.

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