Exploring these potential solutions in the programme’s next phase This report has made clear the need for – and the potential for – improved outcomes for working age and lifelong disabled adults. Several suggestions have been made for how the needs identified in this report can be met more effectively to improve outcomes for the different individuals in need of support, and these potential solutions will be explored in more detail in the next phase of this research programme. That will be published in 2025 and will include detailed case studies of how authorities across the country are tackling the issues identified in this report to enhance outcomes for working age and lifelong disabled adults.
10: Appendix 1: Cohort analysis
4. A specific focus on, and investment in, the 18–25 transitions cohort to ensure a proactive and joined up approach to meeting the needs of young people, both those who transition to adult services, and those previously in receipt of an EHCP who are not eligible for adult social care but still have needs The population of young people turning 18 and transitioning into adult social care is perceived by many to be shifting. The analysis in Section 6 shows that modelling for the lower case is likely to correspond to 25% more 18–19-year- olds transitioning to adult social care by 2030, and the support for 18–24-year-olds will cost 40% more for adult social care services by the same year. Whilst some individuals have high levels of needs and require adult social care support, others with different needs who previously had an EHCP will not be eligible for adult social care. All these individuals are likely to require support from, if not adult social care, other local authority departments (e.g. housing) or other public sector areas (e.g. benefits or health), and a new approach will be needed to ensure that increased future need is managed and prevented. Specifically, a review may be required of the ongoing model of support from local authorities and partners for individuals with autism only, or social, emotional and mental health difficulties. These are large growing groups in the EHCP space, but early findings indicate they will generally not meet Care Act eligibility. This needs to be seen as an extension of any SEND reform.
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