CWU Trustee Retreat Agenda Thursday

National Enrollment Profile

Two factors significantly contribute to the number of new students who enroll in 2- and 4-year college each year. The first is the number of high school seniors who graduate each year.

Table 1 reveals a changing profile of the U.S. high school graduate. While the total is not expected to grow significantly (a 5.7% increase over 10 years), the number of Hispanic graduates will increase by 33% during that same period. The ethnic mix of the total is shifting, primarily through this growth in Hispanics. Single digit increases are projected for other members of traditionally underrepresented groups, and the percentage and number of White graduates will fall.

Table 1 United States High School Graduates Actual/Projected 2015-2024

Hispanic - Alone or any race

Non-Hispanic

Hispanic % of

Public School Total

PUBLIC SCHOOLS High School Graduates TOTAL

White

Black

Amer Indian/ Alaska Native

Asian/ Pacific Islander (Combined)

White % of Public School Total

Black % of Public School Total

Amer Indian/ Alaska Native % of Public School Total

Asian/ Pacific Islander % of

School Year

Public School Total

2015-16

3,138,860

691,661

22.0%

1,773,222

56.5%

459,572

14.6%

30,167

1.0%

183,077

5.8%

2016-17

3,118,893

698,626

22.4%

1,757,322

56.3%

450,543

14.4%

29,300

0.9%

183,383

5.9%

2017-18

3,198,033

739,495

23.1%

1,769,885

55.3%

465,040

14.5%

29,050

0.9%

196,796

6.2%

2018-19

3,203,028

767,254

24.0%

1,754,284

54.8%

461,072

14.4%

28,139

0.9%

196,622

6.1%

2019-20

3,166,150

777,906

24.6%

1,720,563

54.3%

450,629

14.2%

27,458

0.9%

198,353

6.3%

2020-21

3,184,963

800,815

25.1%

1,724,512

54.1%

441,955

13.9%

26,662

0.8%

206,196

6.5%

2021-22

3,195,867

822,484

25.7%

1,719,195

53.8%

438,763

13.7%

26,268

0.8%

209,399

6.6%

2022-23

3,216,522

856,276

26.6%

1,704,187

53.0%

445,157

13.8%

25,878

0.8%

208,632

6.5%

2023-24

3,270,509

894,471

27.3%

1,711,952

52.3%

457,765

14.0%

25,711

0.8%

207,925

6.4%

2024-25

3,317,313

917,776

27.7%

1,724,972

52.0%

471,323

14.2%

25,399

0.8%

209,494

6.3%

CWU HSI Initiative 7.12.18

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