the rennie landscape - Fall 2020

credit and debt

BETTING ON THE HOUSE As household savings increased into the middle of 2020, new household debt slowed. This bodes well for the recovery.

Households acquire debt in a few different forms: throughmortgages, non-mortgage loans (including student and auto loans), and consumer credit (think credit cards and lines of credit). Overall, Canadian households saw their debt acquisition levels remain somewhat muted in Q2 2020, at $12.1 billion—a level similar to that of Q1’s $10.4 billion but down 59% from the previous three-quarter average of $29.5 billion. Interestingly, the composition of new debt acquisition shifted in Q2, with the $26.8

billion in newmortgage debt up 82% fromQ1 andmirroring increased home sales activity across the country. Meanwhile, consumer credit declined by its largest amount in history (by $14.5 billion in Q2; down 152%) and non-mortgage loans fell by $179million (down 113%). With savings up and debt accumulation stabilizing, Canadian households appear to be prudently planning for their collective financial near-term futures.

CANADIAN HOUSEHOLDS CLEAN UP THEIR BALANCE SHEETS

TOTAL FOR HOUSEHOLDS

MORTGAGES

CONSUMER CREDIT

NONMORTGAGE LOAN

$13,093

$909

$20,359

$34,361

2019 Q2

$8,504

$728

$22,392

$31,624

2019 Q3

$4,176

$556

$17,379

$22,111

2019 Q4

-$5,736

$1,430

$14,711

$10,405

2020 Q1

-$14,482

-$179

$26,771

$12,110

2020 Q2

-$8,746

-$1,609

$12,060

$17,050

Q1-Q2 2020 CHANGE

152%

-113%

82%

16%

-$27,575

-$1,088

$6,412

-$22,251

Q2 2019-Q2 2020 CHANGE

-211%

-120%

31%

-65%

SOURCE: FINANCIAL FLOW ACCOUNTS, STATISTICS CANADA DATA: NEW MONTHLY HOUSEHOLD DEBT MILLIONS €

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