Mr. Walter Laun August 31, 2026 Page 1
FINAL
Mr. Walter Laun Revenue Director Maryland Transportation Authority 2310 Broening Highway Suite 150 Baltimore, MD 21224
Subject:
FINAL Fiscal Year 2026 Second Semi-Annual Traffic and Revenue Performance Report
Dear Mr. Laun:
This letter provides a summary of historical monthly transactions and toll revenue performance on the MDTA system using data for Fiscal Year (FY) 2026, ending June 30, 2026. The historical performance is also compared to the annual forecast update from November 2025 summarized in the “FY 2026 Traffic and Toll Revenue Forecast Update”, (November 2025 forecast report). This comparison is provided separately for the Legacy system, Intercounty Connector (ICC), and I-95 Express Toll Lanes (ETLs), as well as for the total system. A summary of the forecast methodology and an analysis of the variations in actual experience compared to forecast is also provided. Recent Trends Since FY 2020 when the pandemic began, CDM Smith has tracked the performance on the system through two sources: the Kapsch 3G toll collection system data reports and the Traffic Volume Income (TVI) reports. The 3G reports provide raw, in-lane data which records daily traffic at the roadside, independent of toll collections. TVI reports provide collected transactions and revenue on the system on a cash basis, where a transaction and the associated revenue is reported in the month the toll is paid. Figure 1 shows the systemwide traffic on the total MDTA system for passenger cars and commercial vehicles from July 2021 through June 2026, using the daily in-lane data. Passenger car transaction volumes for FY 2023 and FY 2024 were similar to FY 2022 in both volume and weekly variation. In the first half of FY 2025, passenger cars consistently reached levels prior to the pandemic and matched or exceeded FY 2024 levels. In the second half of FY 2025, the opening of the I-95 ETL northbound extension increased transactions, which then maintained through FY 2026. Commercial vehicle traffic also experienced a slight increase in transactions which aligns with the opening of the northbound extension and has been hovering around levels seen just prior to the FSK Bridge collapse.
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