MDTA Board Meeting Materials

Mr. Walter Laun August 31, 2026 Page 10

FINAL

Table 5 - Comparison of FY 2026 Forecast and Actual Transactions - Legacy System

FY 2026 Passenger Car Transactions

Video (1)

ETC

Total

Month

Forecast

Actual

% Diff

Forecast

Actual

% Diff

Forecast

Actual

% Diff

July

7,695,836 8,378,599 7,849,862 8,133,439 8,020,019 7,663,987 7,687,289 7,608,660 7,737,678 8,111,892 7,526,781 7,687,713 6,769,508 6,168,218 6,644,754 6,612,711 7,374,057 7,906,615 8,100,648 6,433,977 8,576,450 8,876,665 7,876,195 8,966,572 46,517,464 47,584,290 45,341,613 44,964,758 91,859,077 92,549,048

8.9 3.6

820,319 835,943 811,163 807,139 794,295 765,884 757,646 696,216 922,594 937,969 977,395

882,260 843,692 818,942 778,303 699,213 686,794 701,972 678,296 579,644 787,088 607,510

7.6 0.9 1.0

8,516,155 9,260,859 8,685,805 8,977,131 8,831,182 8,482,929 8,494,428 8,386,963 8,531,972 8,811,105 8,292,665 8,374,507 7,527,155 6,870,190 7,340,970 7,291,007 8,296,652 8,486,259 9,038,617 7,221,065 9,553,845 9,484,175 8,662,786 10,884,063

8.7 3.4

August

September

(4.4) (1.0)

(3.9) (1.3)

October

(3.6)

November December

4.8 2.1

(12.0) (10.3)

3.3 1.0

January February

(8.9) (0.5)

(7.4) (2.6)

(8.7) (0.7)

March

7.2

(37.2) (16.1) (37.8) 143.8

2.3

April May

(20.6)

(20.1)

3.5

(0.7)

13.8

786,591 1,917,491

25.6

June

Jul - Dec 2025 Jan - Jun 2026

2.3

4,834,743 4,709,204 5,078,412 5,272,001 9,913,155 9,981,205

(2.6)

51,352,207 52,293,494 50,420,025 50,236,759

1.8

(0.8)

3.8

(0.4)

FY Total

0.8

0.7 101,772,232

102,530,253

0.7

FY 2026 Commercial Vehicle Transactions

Video (1)

ETC

Total

Month

Forecast

Actual

% Diff

Forecast

Actual

% Diff

Forecast

Actual

% Diff

July

749,542 790,357 819,200 803,626 737,890 696,891 721,349 697,237 747,466 775,599 832,965 773,143

838,935 764,470 748,282 794,387 756,954 754,457 664,802 659,384 774,673 633,672 896,533 900,785

11.9

28,044 27,628 26,519 26,140 26,856 26,718 26,075 24,887 35,291 34,536 35,615 28,109 161,905 184,513 346,418

31,699 31,513 31,038 31,812 27,388 28,154 44,478 24,243 21,698 25,453 26,273 43,358 181,604 185,503 367,107

13.0 14.1 17.0 21.7

777,587 817,985 845,720 829,765 764,746 723,608 747,425 722,124 782,758 810,135 868,580 801,252

870,634 795,983 779,320 826,199 784,342 782,611 709,280 683,627 796,371 659,125 922,806 944,143

12.0

August

(3.3) (8.7) (1.2)

(2.7) (7.9) (0.4)

September

October

November December

2.6 8.3

2.0 5.4

2.6 8.2

January February

(7.8) (5.4)

70.6

(5.1) (5.3)

(2.6)

March

3.6

(38.5) (26.3) (26.2)

1.7

April May

(18.3)

(18.6)

7.6

6.2

16.5

54.3

17.8

June

Jul - Dec 2025 Jan - Jun 2026

4,597,506 4,657,485 4,547,760 4,529,849 9,145,266 9,187,334

1.3

12.2

4,759,411 4,839,089 4,732,273 4,715,352 9,491,684 9,554,441

1.7

(0.4)

0.5 6.0

(0.4)

FY Total

0.5

0.7

FY 2026 All Vehicle Transactions

Video (1)

ETC

Total

Month

Forecast

Actual

% Diff

Forecast

Actual

% Diff

Forecast

Actual

% Diff

July

8,445,378 9,217,534 8,640,219 8,897,909 8,839,219 8,412,269 8,490,914 8,403,047 8,475,568 8,868,846 8,223,672 8,442,170 7,490,858 6,833,020 7,341,991 7,272,095 8,121,524 8,681,288 8,876,247 7,067,649 9,409,415 9,773,198 8,649,338 9,867,357 51,114,970 52,241,775 49,889,372 49,494,607 101,004,343 101,736,382

9.1 3.0

848,364 863,571 837,682 833,279 821,150 792,602 783,722 721,104 957,886 972,505

913,959 875,205 849,980 810,115 726,601 714,948 746,450 702,539 601,342 812,541 633,783

7.7 1.4 1.5

9,293,741 10,131,493 9,503,790 9,773,114 9,676,901 9,262,249 9,324,194 9,213,162 9,296,718 9,595,447 9,016,273 9,157,118 8,274,579 7,579,470 8,063,095 7,974,634 9,079,409 9,282,630 9,848,752 7,880,190 10,422,425 10,406,981 9,464,038 11,828,206 56,111,618 57,132,583 55,152,298 54,952,111

9.0 2.8

August

September

(4.8) (1.0)

(4.3) (1.2)

October

(2.8)

November December

4.6 2.7

(11.5)

3.2 1.6

(9.8) (4.8) (2.6)

January February

(8.8) (1.0)

(8.4) (1.1)

March

6.9

(37.2) (16.5) (37.4) 140.7

2.2

April May

(20.4)

(20.0)

3.9

1,013,009

(0.2)

14.1

814,700 1,960,849

25.0

June

Jul - Dec 2025 Jan - Jun 2026

2.2

4,996,647 4,890,808 5,262,925 5,457,504 10,259,573 10,348,312

(2.1)

1.8

(0.8)

3.7

(0.4)

FY Total

0.7

0.9 111,263,916

112,084,694

0.7

(1) Pay-by-plate transactions are included with video transactions.

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