CN June July 2022 Vol. 61 Issue 3

THE FUTURE OF WATER IN THE WEST Maybe Mark Twain Wasn’t Right After All

By Burt Rutherford Contributing Editor

IF THERE’S A QUOTE that sums the history of water use in the cattle country, it’s the oft-used Mark Twain observation about whiskey and water – “Whiskey is for drinking; water is for fighting over.” However, as the West faces its worst drought in 2,000 years, agriculture in the Colorado River basin may have to pound its legal swords into the verbal equivalent of plowshares if it is to continue to survive. Indeed, re-plowing the battleground over who gets the water and how much they get may well define if not rewrite the future of the West, says Andy Mueller, general manager of the Colorado River District, a 15-county organization based in Glenwood Springs, Colo. Established 84 years ago by the region’s water users, the district advocates for water users near the headwaters of the Colorado River. The Colorado River Basin may well be the poster child for what the future holds. It’s a good place to start as CALF News looks at the future of water in a vast swath of the United States. That’s because how much it does or doesn’t snow in Colorado’s High Country has and will continue to determine the amount of water that about 4 million acres of ag land and 40 million people need to live on as one of the main arteries in the lifeblood of the West flows through a dry and thirsty land.

LET’S START WITH SOME BACKGROUND Looking at historical averages, the Colorado River supplied all the water that people thought would ever be needed when the Colorado River Compact of 1922 became reality. The agreement apportioned the right to exclusive beneficial consumptive use of 7.5 million acre-feet of water from the Colorado River system in perpetuity each to the Upper Basin and the Lower Basin. At the time the Compact came to be, the river was flowing at around 16 million acre-feet. But that level was destined to change. The 100- year average flow into Lake Powell is 15.5 million acre-feet and the average for the last 20 years has been about 12.6 million acre-feet, Mueller says. Lake Powell is the focal point for looking at the health of the Colorado River basins.“Storing water in Lake Powell is critical, because 90 percent of the water in the Colorado River comes from above Lake Powell. Once it’s stored in Lake Powell, it can be utilized in the Lower Basin and hopefully protect our ability to use water in the future.” But as most everyone knows, Lake Powell and Lake Mead are at critically low levels. In response, the

federal government and the seven basin states agreed earlier this year to reduce the outflow from Lake Powell to 7 million acre-feet. However, based on Colorado’s snowpack, the projected flow into Lake Powell will be about 6.5 million acre-feet.“We’re looking at close to 50 percent of the average flow into Lake Powell,” Mueller says. “Unfortunately, we should expect that reduced flow to remain at or close to the same levels, on average.” If the trend and the research are true, which it likely is, it sets the stage for a water war of the ages.

But it doesn’t have to be.

CAN’T WE ALL GET ALONG?

In Mueller’s mind, it’s not a case of can we get along, it’s a situation where agriculture has no choice but to get along. Here’s why. While the seven states that comprise the Colorado River Basin – Wyoming, Colorado, Utah, Nevada, New Mexico, Arizona and California – likely have different ways of apportioning water, let’s use Colorado as an example.“Despite being a prior appropriation state, the constitution of Colorado says that in the event of water shortages, water use shall be appropriated in the following priorities,” Mueller says. “First is municipal water. So that takes priority over agriculture.”

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CALF News

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