7.3. Revenue Sources 7.3.1. Forecasting Revenue Historic revenue patterns provide the foundation for long-term financial planning by establishing conservative baselines from multiple years of actual collections. These baselines are escalated by 3% annually through 2039 to reflect growth and inflation, establishing credible and stable forecasts. Paired with anticipated bond proceeds, these revenue streams, such as Pay-Go allocations averaging $5 million annually and intergovernmental contributions of roughly $15 million per year, create a funding pool exceeding $2.5 billion for major roadway investments.
Strict debt policies, including limits on principal growth and requirements for positive balances, safeguard fiscal sustainability, while contingency planning addresses volatility in external sources like grants and developer contributions. Together, disciplined forecasting and structured funding deliver a conservative, resilient framework that supports long- term transportation improvements without compromising financial stability.
Key Takeaways ■ Historic Revenue as Foundation: Multi-year revenue trends establish conservative baselines, escalated by 3% annually to reflect growth and inflation. ■ Blended Funding Model: Bond proceeds combined with recurring revenues (e.g., Pay-Go and intergovernmental contributions) create a funding pool exceeding $2.5 billion. ■ Debt Policy Safeguards: Strict limits on principal growth and requirements for positive balances promote fiscal sustainability. ■ Revenue Volatility Management: External sources like grants and developer contributions introduce uncertainty, requiring contingency planning. ■ Conservative and Sustainable Framework: Forecasting and disciplined funding together provide a resilient financial structure for long-term transportation investments.
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Finance | Fort Worth Master Transportation Plan
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