• Manual review : The initial modelled results are subject to rigorous manual review by a team of trained Enveritas analysts with deep regional expertise in coffee, cocoa, and palm-producing origins. These reviews confirm that deforestation occurred and validate the subsequent land use. This process allows Enveritas to identify locations where forest was specifically converted to EUDR-restricted commodities, such as coffee or cocoa, after 2020. Enveritas also verifies that the polygons do not intersect or overlap with Protected Areas delimited maps provided by CFI 2019. If doubt persists, Enveritas is able to rapidly deploy field teams locally to conduct ground- truthing. • Probabilistic risk of deforestation : Enveritas also conducts an analysis to answer the question: “What is the probability of future deforestation for each farm?”. This analysis supports proactive risk mitigation by identifying farms that may require early outreach or agronomic support. Using this model, deforestation can be predicted by applying a spatial risk model that considers a variety of indicators around each plot. We assess the probability of future deforestation based on proximity to key risk factors. These include the presence of forest within a defined buffer, which may indicate potential encroachment zones, and historical deforestation within a wider radius, which can reveal patterns of nearby forest loss that signal ongoing or expanding threats. These spatial indicators are layered into a scoring system or model that outputs an annual risk estimate at the plot level.
3. Consequences
What? Tony’s Open Chain uses the Deforestation Risk Analysis results to determine next steps.
When? Before the cocoa season begins
Overview of consequences • If the deforestation risk analysis states a farm is compliant to EUDR The farm remains in Tony’s Open Chain’s Farm Register for the season and is allowed to deliver.
• If the deforestation risk analysis states a farm is non-compliant to EUDR
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