Restaurant Supply Product Pathway
Q3 2024 Market Update
SUMMARY: Near-term cost pressure potential arises due to tariff actions and global supply chain disruption
OCEAN LOGISTICS
MANUFACTURING
GROUND LOGISTICS
RAW MATERIAL AVAILABILITY
PORT DISRUPTION
INBOUND PORT TIME
CONFLICT DISRUPTION
DIESEL FUEL COST
COST
.
DOCK TERMINAL TIME
WAREHOUSE INVENTORY
TARIFFS
BERTH / VESSEL AVAILABILITY
LABOR
LABOR
Vessel berthing and freight handling delays have increased at various US ports driven largely by early seasonal demand and infrastructure projects. Canadian port times have remained steady in Q2. Potential for recent years’ problematic shortages of truck drivers somewhat alleviated by Yellow Freight going out of business and relieving several thousand drivers.
Paper pulp supply remains tight, prices highest in 17 months. May prices up 5% from April, 33% vs. Q3 ‘23. Mill closures driving supply constriction. 5 of North America’s 6 largest containerboard suppliers increased prices in May.
Ocean freight rates have increased 2.5X to 3X since January 2024.
Houthi rebel rocket attacks on cargo ships in the Red Sea continue to force longer sailings around the Cape of Good Hope, tying up vessels longer and diminishing berth capacity at industry level. System imbalances driven by Red Sea diversions, adverse weather events, and infrastructure failures have caused port congestion reemergence around the world, particularly in Asia.
US allowing molded fiber and aluminum tariff exclusions to lapse in June & July, tariffs reverting to higher percentages.
Labor shortages in Malaysia have reduced glove output and many facilities are now booked at full production capacity through September.
Diesel fuel prices are mixed across North America, down slightly in the US vs. 2023, while slightly up in Canada.
North American foodservice supply product inventories remain steady in the first half of 2024.
Nitrile Butadiene Rubber (NBR) raw material output is being throttled, driving > 15% cost increases in May & June.
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