US UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IS STILL NEAR A 50 YEAR LOW – SOFT LANDING STILL MORE LIKELY THAN A RECESSION Despite Federal Reserve tightening, the US unemployment rate is still extremely low @ 3.8% • Unemployment rates are still among lowest US has experienced in 50+ years • Technology companies continue to announce 100,000+ layoffs o Most layoffs are coming at the expense of H1B foreign workers o H1B foreign worker layoffs do not appear in unemployment statistics o US has 80m baby boomers which have started to become eligible for retirement since 2012 o 4.3m are becoming eligible per year (6.01m workers are unemployed as a basis of comparison — 3.8%) o As more baby boomers retire, the unemployment rates would otherwise drop (if not for weakening economy) o The Federal Reserve is worried about wage inflation — this could become a problem in the future as companies rehire tech o There may be pent up demand for retirees to leave work force o Unemployment will likely remain low due to seniors leaving workforce (eventually)
• ETF Fund Flows in US Market
During the past week, US market is showing stronger interest in non-US Equities.
Category
1Y Fund Flow
YTD Fund Flow
1W Fund Flow
Non-US Equity ETF
116.01B
74.02B
0.66B
US Equity ETF
407.14B
239.15B
-12.04B
All Equity ETF
523.15B
313.17B
-11.38 B
*Fund flows through 09/21/2023
• Selected Entrepreneurial Companies w/Strong Performance Since May 03 (FOMC Announcement)
Ticker
Name
Country
Sector
Market Cap
Return(%)
$7,891.03 $1,451.30 $2,765.93 $13,417.96 $6,490.25
521.64 175.00 152.96 136.60 134.34
CVNA US ACHR US IONQ US
Carvana Co
UNITED STATES UNITED STATES UNITED STATES UNITED STATES UNITED STATES
Consumer Discretionary
Archer Aviation Inc
Industrials
IonQ Inc
Information Technology Information Technology
APP US
AppLovin Corp
AFRM US
Affirm Holdings Inc
Financials
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