Funding
You’re Betting Against the House WHEN IT COMES TO PREDICTING THE MARKET, EVERYONE AND THEIR MOTHER IS A CARD COUNTER.
AARON CHAPMAN
L et’s get something straight: This ain’t a dodge—it’s the cold, hard truth. Quicker you accept it, the less likely you are to get taken for a ride by a would be bond market prophet. Everybody hopes to have an Interest Rate Medium. Problem is, the market’s drunk
on predictions. Housing folks, mortgage players, Wall Street gamblers—they all want someone to tell them what’s coming so they can feel better about rolling the dice. But here’s the deal: chasing predictions and shopping rates solely based on quotes is a fool’s errand.
If and when we roll a 7 on that market guess, the successful guesser don’t shut up about it. They parade it around like a damn trophy. But when they’re dead wrong (which is most of the time), you never hear a peep. Over time, this builds a BS sense of confidence
38 | think realty magazine :: december - january 2026
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