العدد 26 - 1 مايو/أيار 2025

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(11) Environmental Task Force of the Corporate Executive Staff, General Electric, "Four Alternative World/U.S. Scenarios 1971–1980," January 21, 1971; in Huss, "A Move Toward Scenario Analysis," 380. (12) Pierre Wack, "Scenarios: Uncharted Waters Ahead,"Harvard Business Review", September 1985, https://hbr.org/1985/09/scenarios-uncharted- waters-ahead (accessed Feb. 15, 2025); and idem, "Scenarios: Shooting the Rapids,"Harvard Business Review, November 1985, https://hbr.org/1985/11/ scenarios-shooting-the-rapids (accessed Feb. 15, 2025). (13) David M. Georgoff and Robert G. Murdick, "Manager’s Guide to Forecasting,"Harvard Business Review, January 1986, https://hbr.org/1986/01/

managers-guide-to-forecasting (accessed Feb. 23, 2025). (14) Huss, "A Move Toward Scenario Analysis", 380.

(15) Johanna Moore,Understanding Israel’s Campaign to Defeat Hezbollah in Lebanon, Institute for the Study of War, Nov. 21, 2024, https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/understanding- israel %E2 %80 %99s-campaign-defeat-hezbollah-lebanon (accessed Feb. 25, 2025). (16) Sophie Tanno, "Israel Strikes Yemen for the First Time Following Deadly Houthi Drone Attack. Here’s What We Know,"CNN", July 22, 2024, https:// edition.cnn.com/2024/07/21/middleeast/israel-strikes-houthi-rebels-explainer- intl/index.html (accessed Mar. 1, 2025). (17) Dilshad Anwar, "Pro-Iran Militia in Iraq Halts Attacks on Israel to Avoid Retaliation,"Voice of America", Dec. 24, 2024, https://www.voanews. com/a/voa-kurdish-pro-iran-militia-in-iraq-halts-attacks-on-israel-to-avoid- retaliation/7912086.html (accessed Mar. 10, 2025). (18) "Iran ‘Essentially Naked’ after Israel Destroys Russia-Provided Air Defence Systems, Say Officials,"First Post", Oct. 31, 2024, https://www. firstpost.com/world/iran-essentially-naked-after-israel-destroys-russia-provided- air-defence-systems-say-officials-13830851.html (accessed Mar. 15, 2025).

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