Case Study 1
In one local area, a large authority has considered disaggregation into two, three, or four unitaries, and the potential demand for people services has been considered for each. The relative demand changes, as measured against baseline, are shown in each scenario (scenario A is two unitaries, B is three unitaries and C is four unitaries).
Figure 17: Case study - variation in demand with different numbers of unitary authorities
This analysis demonstrates that in Scenario C, where four unitary authorities are being created, more variation in demand is observed as compared to the baseline, than in Scenarios A or B. Similarly, in Scenario B, where three unitary authorities are being created, more variation in demand is observed as compared to the baseline, than in Scenario A. This brings to life the challenge of demand variation created by more significant disaggregation and the resulting unitary authorities being smaller in size.
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