City of Irvine - Fiscal Year 2019-21 Proposed Budget

REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE ASSUMPTIONS

Last year, Irvine’s housing market continued to show growth. Irvine’s residential real estate prices increased by approximately 9.4 percent in 2018. The median price of single-family home reached $842,500 (detached/attached single family residences) in 2018. Sale prices of single-family homes have risen on a year-over-year basis. However, with the rise in interest rates and projected future rate increases, housing affordability continues to be stretched, forcing prices to stabilize.

Summary of General Fund Resources Table 1 summarizes and compares actual General Fund resources in FY 2013-14 to FY2017-18, FY 2018- 19 adopted budget, projected FY 2019-21 resources, and forecasted resources for FY 2021-24.

Table 1: General Fund Resources

2013-14 Actual

2014-15 Actual

2015-16 Actual

2016-17 Actual

2017-18 Actual

2018-19 Budget

2019-20 Proposed

2020-21 Proposed

2021-22 Forecast

2022-23 Forecast

2023-24 Forecast

Sales Tax

55,579,512

58,766,632

65,619,926

63,063,463

63,853,447

64,609,782

64,618,770

64,750,396

65,859,566

67,124,462

68,426,609

Property Tax

47,081,024

50,719,953

55,204,528

59,469,593

65,049,200

69,902,446

74,162,141

77,731,639

81,179,993

84,765,584

88,493,274

Hotel Tax

9,331,273

10,772,089

12,294,312

12,520,113

14,883,338

16,293,000

17,027,255

17,239,986

18,002,879

18,232,661

19,745,747

Miscellaneous and Other Programand Service Fees

8,277,871

24,335,445

8,964,061

11,503,911

9,501,447

9,149,665

11,145,906

11,148,974

11,239,268

11,335,722

11,357,460

9,276,445

10,094,902

10,900,365

11,551,006

11,899,921

12,449,722

13,853,790

14,286,178

14,460,674

14,642,500

14,853,939

Franchise Tax

8,559,748

8,892,754

9,170,175

8,854,213

9,226,950

8,890,100

9,348,401

9,518,219

9,587,347

9,655,881

9,726,011

Utility Users Tax 4,517,699

4,561,280

4,863,122

4,558,337

4,761,983

4,649,369

4,576,209

4,766,028

4,838,355

4,912,294

4,987,882

Documentary Transfer Tax Hotel Improvement District

2,911,268

3,554,156

3,761,506

3,956,523

4,631,011

4,362,066

4,226,885

4,226,885

4,226,885

4,226,885

4,226,885

2,332,818

2,693,022

3,073,578

3,130,028

3,720,835

4,073,250

4,256,814

4,309,997

4,500,720

4,558,165

4,936,437

Sub-Total Revenues

147,867,657

174,390,233

173,851,573

178,607,186

187,528,134

194,379,400

203,216,171

207,978,302

213,895,686

219,454,153

226,754,244

Transfers-In

2,285,573

3,374,148

3,073,285

3,078,300

7,512,617

5,425,251

2,929,720

3,649,808

3,559,069

3,559,069

3,559,069

Total Resources

150,153,230

177,764,381

176,924,858

181,685,486

195,040,750

199,804,651

206,145,891

211,628,110

217,454,755

223,013,222

230,313,313

In FY 2019-20 and FY 2020-21, General Fund Operating Revenues, excluding transfers-in, is anticipated to increase 4.5 and 2.3 percent, respectively. The increase in operating revenues is due primarily to growth

FY 2019-21 Proposed Budget

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