Global Advisor: Terrorism War Civil Unrest. 02.26

The Global Advisor Terrorism, War and Civil Unrest | December 2025

 Terrorism, war and civil unrest trends July–September 2025 (Q3)

Top 8 commercial sectors for terrorism, war and civil unrest incidents 19 % Education 14 % Aviation 11 % Healthcare 9 % Power 8 % Retail 8 % Agriculture 7 % Oil and Gas 4 % Construction

Elevated activity across key global hotspots drove a nearly 20% increase in war-related incidents in Q3 2025. Attacks by the Ukrainian military in Russian territories surged by 75%, while Russian incidents in Ukraine rose by 18% compared to Q2 2025. Following Q2 hostilities involving the US, Israel and Iran, incident numbers dropped sharply in Iran in Q3, falling from 245 to just 12. Unrest incidents globally rose by 13% from Q2 2025 to Q3 2025, driven in part by youth-led “Gen Z” protests across several countries, including Indonesia, Morocco, Madagascar, Peru, Nepal and the Philippines. The US continued to have the highest number of protest actions, driven by immigration policies, local political dynamics and the Israel-Gaza situation. Global terrorist activity remained broadly stable in Q3 2025. Although, incidents almost doubled from 60 to 111 in the Palestinian Territories, and rose by approximately 50% to 75 in Israel, reflecting escalations that occurred in Q2 prior to the October ceasefire.

Top 10 countries by incident category

Source: Seerist

Terrorism

Palestinian Terr. Israel Mozambique Syria Colombia Mali Pakistan Yemen Nigeria Congo (DRC)

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20

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60

80

100

120

War

Ukraine Russia Palestinian Terr.

Myanmar Lebanon Syria Sudan

Congo (DRC) Taiwan (China) Israel

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7000

8000

Unrest

25,649

16% increase on Q2 2025

United States India Morocco Mexico Iran Germany Israel Indonesia Iraq France

Source: Seerist

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1400

The report’s data is sourced from Seerist, a leading risk intelligence platform

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