AMP 2020 update

Vector Electricity Asset Management Plan— 2020 Update

5.5

Appendix E – Schedule 12c Forecast Network Demand

Vector Electricity 1 April 2020 – 31 March 2030

Company Name AMP Planning Period

SCHEDULE 12C: REPORT ON FORECAST NETWORK DEMAND

This schedule requires a forecast of new connec�ons (by consumer type), peak demand and energyvolumes for the disclosure year and a 5 year planning period. The forecasts should be consistent with the suppor�ng informa�on set out in the AMP as well as the assump�ons used in developing the expenditure forecasts in Schedule 11a and Schedule 11b and the capacity and u�lisati on forecasts in Schedule 12b.

sch ref

12c(i): Consumer Connec�ons

7 8 9

Number of connec�ons

Number of ICPs connected in year by consumer type

Current Year CY

CY+1

CY+2

CY+3

CY+4

CY+5

31 Mar 20

31 Mar 21

31 Mar 22

31 Mar 23

31 Mar 24

31 Mar 25

10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40

for year ended

Consumer types defined by EDB*

Residen�al & Small Medium Enterprise (SME)

13,331

12,736

11,697

11,697

11,523

11,523

Industrial & Commercial

140

104

104

104

85

85

Connec�ons total

13,470

12,840

11,800

11,800

11,608

11,608

*include additional rows if needed

Distributed genera�on

Number of connec�ons Capacity of distributed genera�on installed in year (MVA)

512

2,500

6,700

6,700

6,700

6,700

2

10

20

20

20

20

12c(ii) System Demand

Current Year CY

CY+1

CY+2

CY+3

CY+4

CY+5

Maximum coincident system demand (MW)

31 Mar 20

31 Mar 21

31 Mar 22

31 Mar 23

31 Mar 24

31 Mar 25

for year ended

GXP demand

1,731

1,876

1,923

1,961

1,987

2,009

plus

Distributed genera�on output at HV and above

14

14

14

14

14

14

Maximum coincident system demand

1,745

1,890

1,937

1,975

2,001

2,023

less

Net transfers to (from) other EDBs at HV and above

-

-

-

-

-

-

Demand on system for supply to consumers' connec�on points

1,745

1,890

1,937

1,975

2,001

2,023

Electricity volumes carried (GWh)

Electricity supplied from GXPs Electricity exports to GXPs

8,641

8,641

8,639

8,638

8,643

8,640

less plus less

Electricity supplied from distributed genera�on Net electricity supplied to (from) other EDBs

126

126

126

126

126

126

Electricity entering system for supply to ICPs

8,767 8,450

8,767 8,450

8,765 8,448

8,764 8,447

8,769 8,452

8,766 8,449

less

Total energydelivered to ICPs

Losses

317

317

317

317

317

317

Load factor Loss ra�o

57% 3.6%

53% 3.6%

52% 3.6%

51% 3.6%

50% 3.6%

49% 3.6%

— 39

Made with FlippingBook Proposal Creator