MARKET & TRENDS
LOCAL MARKET MONITOR
JOB GROWTH (12 MOS)
HOME PRICES (12 MOS)
HOME PRICE (000)
LOCAL MARKET MONITOR
PRICES VS. INCOME
"By the Numbers"
Myrtle Beach, SC
Palm Bay-Melbourne, FL
by Ingo Winzer
ometimes it's best to just go where the numbers take you. There's no theme among the 15 markets we've listed here as prime spots for real estate investors to consider — except that all the numbers look good. (The only one I'm a bit leery of is Reno because it's so closely tied to the San Fran- cisco Bay Area.) The numbers look especially good for job growth. That's the key for long-term investing — jobs cre- ate demand for housing, whether through ownership or rentals. As a reference, the national economy right now is creating jobs at 1.8 percent annual rate.
some pretty interesting places. Our Investors Metro Mon- itor shows you the risks and opportunities in 200 mar- kets across the country, at www.LocalMarketMonitor.com. •
Home prices in these markets rose at a good clip in the past year, but not too good a clip. Price increases are a measure of the strength of demand really for hous- ing, but you don't want to buy into a market where they are rising 12 or 15 percent a year unless you're a speculator. Despite rising prices, none of these markets are in yet over-priced territory, which starts when prices are more than 25 percent over the “income” price. That means the risk of a price boom and bust in these markets is low. Numbers can only tell you so much, but these can lead you to
Ingo Winzer is president of Local Mar- ket Monitor, which analyzes conditions in 300 U.S. markets, using such eco- nomic data as home values and growth in employment and population. Winzer,
Sioux Falls, SD
who has analyzed real estate markets for more than 20 years, was a founder and executive vice president of First Research, an industry research company that was acquired by Dun & Bradstreet in March 2007. He is a graduate of MIT and holds an MBA in finance from Boston University. Winzer resides in Cambridge, Mass.
Grand Junction, CO
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach, FL
College Station, TX
Source :: Local Market Monitor, 2019
86 | think realty housing news report :: august / september 2019
thinkrealty . com / hnr | 87
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