CH Investment & Economic Strategy Lunch 2023

How far will unemployment need to rise to slow wage growth?

R² = 0.87 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011121314 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (%) US UNEMPLOYMENT RATE AND WAGE GROWTH R² = 0.44 WAGE MEASURE IS EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX WAGES & SALARIES. RED DOT IS LATEST QUARTER, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE. 2009-2019 1994-2008 FROM Q2 2020

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5

1

Sources: BLS

23

@2023 Not to be reproduced without permission from Minack Advisors, info@minackadvisors.com

Made with FlippingBook interactive PDF creator