CH Investment & Economic Strategy Lunch 2023

The essential bubble ingredient: high EPS expectations

NASDAQ CAPE & LONG RUN SPX IT SECTOR FORECAST EPS

100

35

90

32

80

29

70

26

S&P500 IT SECTOR FORECAST LONG RUN EPS GROWTH (RHS)

60

23

50

20

40

17

30

14

20

11

NASDAQ CAPE

10

8

0

5

1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025

1

Source: BLS, IBES/DataStream, Bloomberg, NBER

58

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