CH Investment & Economic Strategy Lunch 2023

Post-GFC US out-performance driven by EPS, not rates (or QE)

TRAILING EPS (INDEXED TO JAN 2007)

260

260

ROLLING 12M EPS. OPERATIONAL EARNINGS.

240

240

220

220

200

200

US MSCI

180

180

160

160

140

140

120

120

100

100

80

80

MSCI ALL COUNTRY EX-US

60

60

2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025

1

Sources: MSCI, IBES/DataStream, NBER

60

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