From capital to delivery report

Newton | From capital to delivery

The bottleneck has shifted upstream 3

The most significant constraints facing utilities today sit before construction even begins. Across the US power sector, the critical bottlenecks are now concentrated in: • development and permitting • interconnection • transmission readiness • engineering and system studies • regulatory throughput • stakeholder and community alignment These constraints are becoming critical because they determine whether infrastructure can move from approved capital into energized capacity at the pace demand now requires. The scale of the challenge is already visible across the system. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory’s latest ‘Queued Up’ analysis reports that more than 2,060 GW of generation and storage capacity was actively seeking connection to the US grid at the end of 2025, with timelines in some regions extending multiple years. PJM alone has faced such significant backlog pressure that it implemented major reforms to its interconnection process while demand growth continues to outpace the speed at which projects can move through approvals and system integration. At the same time, utilities are competing simultaneously for scarce execution capacity across the broader infrastructure system. This includes competition for:

These constraints are earlier in the lifecycle, less visible operationally and often harder to manage than downstream construction activity. And critically, this is where much of the value erosion now occurs. A delay in development, permitting or interconnection can:

1. disrupt transmission sequencing 2. delay procurement commitments 3. tie up engineering resources 4. postpone energization 5. increase affordability pressure 6. cascade across broader portfolios

These impacts rarely remain isolated to individual projects. By the time delays appear in construction reporting, the underlying issue has often existed for months or years upstream. This is changing how utilities think about execution readiness itself. In practice, execution readiness depends not only on technical and financial capability, but also on: • regulatory predictability • stakeholder alignment • public acceptance • portfolio sequencing discipline • speed of decision-making across the delivery ecosystem The ability to move efficiently through pre-construction phases has become a strategic differentiator across the industry.

• engineering capacity • regulatory throughput • transmission access • supply chain capacity • skilled labor • stakeholder and community acceptance

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