From capital to delivery report

Newton | From capital to delivery

Historic ally, the industry has often viewed construction delay as the primary source of value erosion because construction delays are highly visible financially. They affect cash deployment, schedules and near-term delivery metrics. But for utilities investing against accelerating load growth, the larger loss is often upstream. A day lost in permitting, interconnection or transmission readiness can delay energization, defer economic growth, postpone revenue realization and slow broader portfolio throughput long before construction even begins. The industry is recognizing that the largest cost of delay may not occur during construction itself, but before projects ever reach construction readiness.

Poor sequencing, unclear cost allocation and delayed permitting are no longer simply delivery issues. They have now become customer cost issues.

The impact of delay can now be seen across multiple dimensions: • delayed transmission upgrades can defer generation projects • delayed interconnection processes can postpone industrial expansion • delayed permitting decisions can affect entire portfolio sequences

The impact is cumulative and increasingly system-wide.

The cost of delay in utility capital projects Why timing of value now drives returns

Most delays originate upstream (development and pre-FID)

Initial Delay

Immediate Impact • Dissatisfied customers • Revenue not realised • Cash flow delayed • Cost increases

Cascading Effect

Portfolio Impact

The Real Impact

• A delay occurs

Shared resources create dependancies.

• One delay slows multiple projects • Delays compound • Returns pushed further out

• Delayed connections means delayed economic growth • Delay in utilities’ rate recovery and cash flows

in a single project

• EPC capacity • Skilled labor • Critical equipment • Interdependent projects phases Often originates upstream (pre-FID)

In a high-growth environment, speed of delivery drives value.

Figure 2. Delays created upstream often propagate across portfolios long before construction begins.

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