Climate change, inequality and geopolitics at the head of 10-year systemic risk surge This area seems to represent an industry gap in best practices. These risks are unlikely to have been fully integrated into the investment process
n = 17
Views on systemic risk trajectories
Top 3 sources of global systemic risk
Over the next 10 years, the global systemic risk areas are likely to grow in incidence and scale Over the next 10 years, the global systemic risk areas are likely to grow in synchronicity (i.e., become more inter-…
Escalating climate change
87%
18%
71%
12%
Inequality and social challenges (e.g., polarisation, loss of social cohesion)
60%
18%
71%
12%
Geopolitical confrontation
53%
Biodiversity loss/ecosystem breakdown
Over the next 10 years, the market volatility will be higher relative to the historic average A 10-year horizon is too short for younger members, but is a pragmatic trade-off
33%
6%
59%
35%
Natural resource crisis
20%
41%
47%
12%
Cybercrime/cybersecurity
13%
The plumbing of the financial system
13%
Strongly agree
Agree
Neutral
Disagree
Other
13%
Two other sources of systemic risk were suggested, both political. One related to political interference damaging the integrity of DC provision, and one related to changes in political leadership. “
Adverse outcomes of AI/frontier technology
7%
n = 15
31
© 2025 Thinking Ahead Institute. All rights reserved.
Made with FlippingBook interactive PDF creator