Carpenters and builders would see the largest absolute increase in employment as a result of expanding output from reaching targets
UK construction employment uplift required under housebuilding and net zero path by 2033 (thousands)
Employment in 12 trades would rise by 277,600 over the decade
Twelve construction trades are the focus of this report, listed in the right hand chart. Based on modelling of output associated with hitting targets, accounting for different types of work, we estimate that employment in these twelve trades would need to rise by 277,600 over the next ten years. That equates to employment growth in these trades of 2.3% per annum over the next decade on average.
Carpenters
50.8
Builders*
46.0
Electricians
43.7
Carpenters, builders and electricians would see the largest rise
Plumbers
41.6
The largest absolute rises in employment are for carpenters (50,800), builders* (46,000), electricians (43,700) and plumbers (41,600). In terms of average annual growth in employment, these trades see growth of 2.4%, 2.0%, 1.9% and 2.4% respectively. Glaziers see the strongest growth in employment, at an annual average of 3.1%. Demand for glaziers will be largely driven by the strong outlook for activity in housing I&R under the scenario of reaching the path to net zero and ramping up housebuilding. Increasing levels of employment will require a much larger number of new recruits in the sector as workers will also be needed to replace retirees, and those who change roles or leave the sector. (See next slide.)
Painters
29.6
Bricklayers
16.7
Roofers
13.8
Glaziers
13.5
Plasterers
9.3
Floorers
6.5
Scaffolders
4.7
12 trade total: 277.6
Steel erectors
1.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sources: Capital Economics and ONS *Note: There is no singular category for ‘builders’ in the ONS’ occupation categories (SOC2020). We have used SOC code 5319: Construction and building trades n.e.c.
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