The Census estimates population changes from July 1 st to July 1 st .
California: Components of Population Change*
CA population changes in recent years have been characterized by 1) many more residents moving to other states than moving into CA (negative net domestic migration), 2) high net foreign immigration, and 3) more births than deaths (natural cause). Total population was essentially unchanged in the last year (down .02%) but has declined since the pandemic hit. Due to new federal policies, net foreign immigration plunged 65% in the last 12-month period and is expected to decline further – and perhaps turn negative (more immigrants leaving than arriving).
July 1, 2024 – July 1, 2025
April 1, 2020 – July 1, 2025
109,715
109,278
973,812
Since the Pandemic Hit
1,000,000
100,000
531,304
Net Foreign Immigration
50,000
500,000
Net Foreign Immigration
0
0
Natural Cause
(9,465)
Net Domestic Migration
Natural Cause
Total Population Change
-50,000
(200,394)
-500,000
Net Domestic Migration
Total Population Change
Last 12-Month Period
-100,000
-1,000,000
-150,000
Foreign immigration declined 65% year over year in the last 12-month period.
-1,500,000
-200,000
(1,691,867)
(229,077)
-250,000
-2,000,000
*Estimates published 1/27/26 by U.S. Census. All numbers approximate, may contain errors, and may be revised in future estimates. Census numbers will not total perfectly due to “Population change that cannot be attributed to any specific demographic component.”
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