Think-Realty-Magazine-May-June-2017

BYTHE NUMBERS

REALTYTRAC

Flips Hit 10-Year High HOME FLIPPING WAS HOT IN 2016, FUELED BY LOW INVENTORY OF HOMES IN SELLABLE OR RENTABLE CONDITION ALONG WITH A FLOOD OF CAPITAL SEARCHING FOR RETURNS AND STABILITY.

burg, Florida (9.9 percent); and Deltona-Daytona Beach-Or- mond Beach, Florida (9.9 percent). Along with Memphis and Tampa-St. Petersburg, other metro areas with a population of at least 1 million and a 2016 home flipping rate of at least 7 percent were Las Vegas (9.2 percent); Miami (8.8 percent); Orlando (8.3 percent); Phoe- nix (8.0 percent); New Orleans (7.9 percent); Jacksonville, Florida (7.7 percent); Virginia Beach (7.6 percent); Baltimore (7.4 percent); Birmingham (7.4 percent); St. Louis (7.1 per- cent); and Nashville (7.1 percent). BIGGEST INCREASE IN HOME FLIPPING RATES Among 117 metropolitan statistical areas with at least 250 home flips in 2016, those with the biggest year-over-year increase in the home flipping rate were Reading, Pennsylvania (38.8 percent); Lincoln, Nebraska (38.6 percent); East Strouds- burg, Pennsylvania (36.6 percent); Rochester, New York (31.8 percent); and Allentown, Pennsylvania (29.3 percent). Along with Rochester, other metro areas with a popula-

Pennsylvania (241.5 percent); Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania (130.0 percent); Cleveland, Ohio (116.2 percent); Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (107.1 percent); Toledo, Ohio (102.0 percent); and New Orleans, Louisiana (101.2 percent). Along with Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Philadelphia and New Orleans, other metro areas with a population of at least 1 mil- lion and a gross flipping ROI in 2016 of 75 percent or higher were Baltimore (96.6 percent); Cincinnati (87.2 percent); Buffalo (85.8 percent); Rochester (76.2 percent); Oklahoma City (76.1 percent); Chicago (75.9 percent); Jacksonville, Florida (75.8 percent); Memphis, Tennessee (75.6 percent); and Grand Rapids, Michigan (75.0 percent). HIGHEST HOME FLIPPING RATES Among 117 metropolitan statistical areas with at least 250 home flips in 2016, those with the highest home flipping rate, as a percentage of all home sales, were Memphis, Tennessee (11.7 percent); Clarksville, Tennessee (10.1 percent); Visa- lia-Porterville, California (10.1 percent); Tampa-St. Peters-

by RealtyTrac

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lips of single-family homes and condos in 2016 were up 3.1 percent from 2015, to the highest level since 2006, according to ATTOM Data Solutions’ 2016 Year-End U.S. Home Flipping Report released March 9, 2017. The 193,009 single-family homes and condos flipped in 2016 accounted for 5.7 percent of all single-family home and condo sales during the year, up from 5.5 percent in 2015 to a three-year high. That was still well below the peak in 2005, however, when 338,207 single-family homes and condos were flipped, representing 8.2 percent of all sales. For this report, a home flip is defined as a property that is sold in an arms-length sale for the second time within a 12-month period based on publicly recorded sales deed data collected by ATTOM Data Solutions (the parent company of RealtyTrac) in more than 950 counties accounting for more than 80 percent of the U.S. population. The report also shows that 126,256 entities — including both individuals and institutions — flipped homes in 2016. That increase was less than 1 percent from 2015 to the highest number since 2007, when 143,266 entities flipped properties. Meanwhile, the share of flipped homes that were purchased by the flipper with financing increased to an eight-year high of 31.5 percent in 2016. While the median age of homes flipped increased to 37 years — a new high going back to 2000, as far back as data is available — and the median square footage of homes flipped decreased to 1422 — a record low going back to 2000. “Home flipping was hot in 2016, fueled by low inventory of homes in sellable or rentable condition along with a flood of capital — both foreign and domestic — searching for the re- turns and stability available with U.S. real estate,” said Daren Blomquist, senior vice president at ATTOM Data Solutions. “The combination of more home flips and a greater share of financing for flip purchases resulted in a 19 percent jump in the estimated dollar volume of financing for home flip pur- chases, up to $12.2 billion for the flips completed in 2016 — a nine-year high.” “Investors in search of flipping returns are increasingly

willing to move to secondary and tertiary housing markets and neighborhoods with older, smaller properties that are available at a deeper discount,” Blomquist continued. “Given that many of these markets are more affordable, we are also seeing a high- er share of the flipped homes sold to FHA buyers, with that share reaching a four-year high of 19.6 percent in 2016.” HOME FLIPPING PROFITS HIT RECORD Homes flipped in 2016 sold for a median price of $189,900, a gross flipping profit of $62,624 above the median purchase price of $127,276 and representing a gross flipping return on investment (ROI) of 49.2 percent. Both the gross flipping dollar amount and ROI were the highest going back to 2000. Among 117 metropolitan statistical areas with at least 250 home flips in 2016, there were 11 with an average gross flip- ping profit of $100,000 or more in 2016: San Jose, California ($145,750); Boston, Massachusetts ($140,000); San Francis- co, California ($140,000); New York, New York ($127,250); Los Angeles, California ($127,000); San Diego, California ($111,000); Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, California ($105,000); Seattle, Washington ($102,000); Vallejo-Fairfield, California ($101,000); Baltimore, Maryland ($100,500); and Washington, D.C. ($100,000). “Our strong wage growth is still supporting rising home prices, which when combined with the historically low num- ber of homes for sale in Seattle, gives home flippers substan- tial returns on their investments,” said Matthew Gardner, chief economist at Windermere Real Estate, covering the Seattle market. “I believe flipping serves as a negative for any housing market because it further erodes housing affordabil- ity, but if there’s a demand for it in the market, it’s a trend we will continue to see.”

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HIGHEST GROSS FLIPPING RETURNS Among the 117 metro areas analyzed in the report, those with the highest gross flipping ROI were East Stroudsburg,

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