FIRST COAST COMMUTER RAIL TOD STUDY | EXISTING CONDITIONS
FIRST COAST COMMUTER RAIL TOD STUDY | EXISTING CONDITIONS
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CORRIDOR SOCIOECONOMIC ANALYSIS
OVERVIEW
EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS
Corridor Employment Characteristics The existing employment density in the urban core (northern stations) have limited existing employment density. Locations of notable density in this area are locations adjacent to the St. Johns River. Station areas between Walmart/University to Avenues Walk demonstrate a higher employment density along the US 1 corridor. Density declines in areas of single family residential. The surrounding rural lands around the station areas of Old St. Augustine to San Sebastian View contain very little employment density. There are pockets of industrial areas along the corridor that do feature some varying levels of employment. Station areas overlapping with St. Augustine’s urban core contain very low employment density. The SR 312 Station Area contains the only notable employment density in the southern portion of the study corridor. Station Area Employment Characteristics 2015 - 2045 Concerning employment, the data indicates that the study area is poised to experience an increase of more than 14,700 jobs by 2045, representing a growth of approximately 50%. This employment growth data is indispensable for guiding workforce development strategies, promoting job opportunities, and ensuring that the labor market can support the evolving economic landscape. The areas showing over 100% projected employment growth, primarily centered at Old St. Augustine, CR 210, Palencia, San Carlos, and King Street, accentuate the importance of targeted job creation and development initiatives in these specific locations. Employment densities at proposed station areas are presented in Table 3-3.
The use of socioeconomic data in this section is driven by the need to understand the study area fully through demographics, multimodal connections, and projected growth. The data is sourced from the NERPM-AB (North Florida TPO’s activity-based travel demand model), with a reference year of 2015 and projections extending to 2045. This socioeconomic data is necessary for gaining insights into and addressing regional growth trends and plays a pivotal role in updating the 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan (LRTP). Within the FCCR study area, the examination of socioeconomic data at both the half-mile and one- mile radii surrounding each station is pivotal for making informed decisions pertaining to any future infrastructure, transportation, and urban development projects. POPULATION PROJECTION Corridor Population Characteristics The southern terminus of the proposed project lies in the newly developed areas, such as SR 312, feature higher residential density. Historic urban core of St Augustine area includes many areas of conservation leading to lower residential density. Areas in North St. Johns up to CR 210 consist of master-planned communities that feature high residential density but are intermixed with conservation lands. In North St. Johns County and South Duval County, between CR 210 and JTB proposed station areas, the study corridor contains limited population density. The majority of the population is just west of the corridor and half mile buffer area. Population densities for the northern portion of the FCCR study area, contain higher densities at the station boundaries, except for the JRTC Station Area which has a very low population density. Station Area Population Characteristics 2015 - 2045 The analysis of the study area with a half-mile buffer reveals a substantial average population growth rate of 70%, indicating a projected increase of 7,700 residents by 2045. This information is vital for gauging housing requirements, public services, and transportation infrastructure. Furthermore, identifying areas with over 100% growth, such as CR 210, Palencia, and San Sebastian View, underscores the urgency of focusing on these regions for strategic planning and development efforts. Population densities at proposed station areas are shown in Figure 3-5 and Table 3-3.
Source: 2020 5-YEAR ACS
Figure 3-5: CORRIDOR POPULATION DENSITY MAP
FCCR TOD
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