FIRST COAST COMMUTER RAIL TOD STUDY | EXISTING CONDITIONS
FIRST COAST COMMUTER RAIL TOD STUDY | EXISTING CONDITIONS
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TRAVEL MARKET & DEMAND ANALYSIS
TRAVEL MARKET ANALYSIS
TRAVEL DEMAND FORECAST REVIEW
estimated as an indicator of which stations were more or less cost effective. The results shown in Table 3-6 indicate that of the potential station locations considered for TOD, the JRTC Station is most cost effective at $10,458 per trip; whereas, the CR 210 Station is the least cost effective at $81,013 per trip.
Additional review of the forecasts were conducted to assess the mode of access for potential station locations (Table 3-7). Overall, walk access was the dominant mode of access at most stations. However, the JRTC Station had a high rate of transfer activity (89%). Transfer activity is highest when there is connectivity with the local transit network.
The analysis of the station area commuting patterns within the study area was conducted using data from the Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD) dataset provided by the U.S. Census. This dataset is a result of combining previously collected survey and administrative data related to jobs, businesses, and workers, encompassing more than 95% of the employment landscape in the United States. Table 3-5 below includes the top 20 station to station travel markets.
A review of the travel demand forecasts from the NERPM 2045 Cost Feasible network was conducted. The core stations of JRTC, Avenues Walk, CR 210, and King Street account for 50 percent of the overall ridership. The inclusion of Baymeadows, Palencia and SR 312 stations provides a total ridership increase of 18 percent (Table 3-6). Stations are more cost effective in locations where ridership demand is greatest. Currently, the average cost of a commuter rail station is approximately $6.4 million dollars. Based on the station cost and the estimated boarding activity, the station cost per trip was
DAILY BOARDINGS
2045 CFP
STATIONS
RIDERSHIP
% OF RIDERSHIP STATION COST PER TRIP
JRTC
612
20%
$
10,458
San Marco
127
4%
$
50,394
Emerson
404
13%
$
15,842
RANKS
ORIGIN-DESTINATION (OD) NAME
OD TRIPS
DO TRIPS
TOTAL
J.T. Butler Boulevard
85
3%
$
75,294
1
Kin Street-St. Augustine
4,257
3,226
7,483
Baymeadows
332
11%
$
19,277
2
Jackson Square-San Marco
4,353
943
5,296
Avenues Walk
267
9%
$
23,970
3
San Carlos-St. Augustine
2,975
2,095
5,070
Old St. Augustine Road
130
4%
$
49,231
4
King Street-San Carlos
2,264
2,374
4,638
CR 210
79
3%
$
81,013
5
Baymeadows-San Marco
2,911
545
3,456
Palencia
111
4%
$
57,658
6
San Marco-Walmart/University
164
3,270
3,434
Northeast Florida Regional Airport
192
6%
$
33,333
7
SR312-St. Augustine
1,854
1,133
2,987
St. Johns County Government Complex
36
1%
$ 177,778
8
Kin Street-SR312
1,424
1,479
2,903
King Street
533
18%
$
12,008
9
Baymeadows-JTB
1,219
1,584
2,803
SR 312
95
3%
$
67,368
10
JTB-San Marco
2,267
284
2,551
I-95
32
1%
$ 200,000
11
CR 210 -San Marco
2,109
10
2,119
Total
3035
100%
12
San Sebastian View-St. Augustine
1,448
600
2,048
Source: NERPM 2045 COST FEASIBLE NETWORK
Table 3-6: DEMAND FORECAST BY STATION
13
JRTC-San Marco
927
1,081
2,008
14
San Carlos-SR312
797
1,134
1,931
PERCENT OF BOARDING
15
King Street-San Sebastian View
698
1,085
1,783
ACCESS MODE
AVENUES WALK
JRTC
CR 210
PALENCIA KING STREET
SR 312
16
San Carlos-San Sebastian View
497
1,112
1,609
17
Baymeadows-Jackson Square
859
692
1,551
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Park N Ride
18
Old St. Augustine-San Marco
1,435
115
1,550
0%
11%
3%
4%
5%
1%
Drop Off
19
Jackson Square-JRTC
1,308
222
1,530
89%
33%
0%
0%
1%
12%
Transfer
20
Walmart/University - Jackson Square
307
1,170
1,477
11%
56%
97%
96%
94%
87%
Walk
Source: LEHD 2020
Table 3-7: MODE OF ACCESS TO TOD STATIONS
Table 3-5: TOP 20 STATION TO STATION TRAVEL MARKETS
FCCR TOD
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