ARG Quarterly Barometer May 2023

Federal Funds Effective Rate

Federal Funds Effective Rate 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00

Q4 Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1 Q2 Q3

Q4 Q1

2023

2019

2020

2021

2022

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US)

10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Yields

10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity

2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% .5% 0% -.5% -1.0% -1.5% -2.0%

2.50

2.00

1.50

1.00

0.50

0.00

-0.50

-1.00

-1.50

-2.00

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

2023

2019

2020

2021

2022

This chart represents the 10-year Treasury yields (interest rates) minus the 3-month Treasury yields. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

15 ARG Quarterly Barometer Q2 2023

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