The Global Advisor: Terrorism - Marsh 03.25

The Global Advisor Terrorism, War and Civil Unrest | March 2025  Terrorism, war and civil unrest trends October–December (Q4)

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Top 8 commercial sectors for Terrorism, war and civil unrest incidents 19 % Education 15 % Aviation

The number of war incidents recorded by Seerist increased by about 11% compared with Q3 2024. The Ukraine conflict remained the dominant source of incidents. Nevertheless, incidents in Russia noticeably declined by about 30%, reflecting a reduction in Ukrainian cross-border drone attacks. The escalation between the Lebanese Shia movement Hizbullah and Israel prompted incidents in Lebanon to more than double quarter-on-quarter. Recorded terrorist attacks recorded rose by almost a quarter in the final months of 2024. The escalation in the Middle East drove a ten-fold increase in attacks in Lebanon, as well as a smaller rise in Israel. Similarly, Yemen recorded an uptick off the back of Houthi militant attacks. Global unrest incidents declined by 15% compared with Q3. The ousting of Bangladesh prime minister Sheikh Hasina in August 2024 precipitated an approximately 50% decline in unrest incidents in Bangladesh in Q4. Other unrest drivers in the quarter included the constitutional crisis in South Korea and the US elections.

Top 10 countries by incident category

Source: Seerist

Terrorism

Israel Syria Lebanon Palestinian Terr. Pakistan Yemen Colombia Mozambique Somalia Congo (DRC)

13 % Healthcare 10 % Agriculture 8 % Retail 7 % Power 6 % Oil and Gas 4 %

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Ukraine Lebanon Russia Syria Palestinian Terr. Israel Myanmar Sudan Yemen Congo (DRC)

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Unrest

India US Iran Morocco

23,871

0.8% decrease on Q3 2024

Telecommunications

France Yemen Bangladesh Iraq Pakistan South Korea

Source: Seerist

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