Board Converting News, December 12, 2022

Diesel Fuel Settles (CONT’D FROM PAGE 32)

Board Converting NEWS INTERNET DIRECTORY

the demand for gasoline,” said Schaeffer. “And that might lead refineries to adjust their output of finished products.” Green energy initiatives aside, a deceleration in global economies may also help bolster diesel supply. “We have been seeing a little bit of a slow down on freight demand in the trucking sector,” said Schaeffer. “The economy and inflation seem to be taking a bit of a toll there, and that should allow some of the inventories to come back up a bit.” Slowing Economies According to estimates from L.E.K. Consulting, fuel can account for up to 25 percent of a typical trucking opera- tion’s operating costs. That can rise to 35 percent to 40 percent in a high fuel price environment. It follows that the price moderation forecast for the coming months will come as welcome relief. “We feel like we’ve hit the ceiling

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now and are just going to be settling down over the next six months,” said Schaeffer. “We’re going to be paying a higher rate for diesel than we’ve been accustomed to. But it won’t be as high as where we are now.” Even so, uncertainties in the global operating environ- ment mean that the future of diesel availability and pricing will depend largely on the answers to some open ques- tions. How will the world deal with and recover from the Ukraine war? How will Europe handle the shock of a drop in oil supply? Will sanctions and tensions escalate, or will the Russia experience an internal political shift and reach an accommodation? “If you’re trying to predict what’s going to be happen- ing in fuel markets, this is a particularly unusual time,” said Williams-Derry. “It’s not just about supply and demand. It’s also about politics.”

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www.boardconvertingnews.com Phillip Perry is an award-win- ning freelance writer based in New York City and is a regu- lar contributor to Board Con- verting News. His byline has appeared over 3,000 times in the nation’s business press. Reach him at https://www. linkedin.com/in/phillipmperry/.

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