American Consequences - December 2019

We're also wary of cyber-security firm CrowdStrike (CRWD), one of the few unicorns whose price has increased since its IPO, and Peloton Interactive (PTON), which sells "happiness" in the form of stationary bikes. No longer nurtured by the deep pockets competing for their affections, in the 2020s we're going to watch these companies struggle in the harsh reality of public markets. most interesting aspects of it was that initially, all of the stocks of the companies that – in theory – would be negatively impacted by a disruption of free Internet content and ecommerce sold off very strongly. The businesses, though, didn’t miss a beat. And while investors were absolutely right about the eventual result – they were a decade early on the actual impact! The newspapers and retailers are perfect examples... There was an initial moment where investors feared that these new Internet companies would cause great disruption to these traditional business models. Those investors were absolutely right! It just took about another 10-plus years for those impacts to really be felt. Those early Internet pioneers in content and commerce had business models where we knew that it could all be built. However, in those early days, the technology or infrastructure wasn't there to support them. I would use the analogy of putting a man on the moon. By the early 1950s, we knew how to do it... But it would take another 15-plus

The inflating unicorn bubble was one of the most important trends of the 2010s. And I believe that the bursting of this bubble will be one of the biggest trends of the 2020s. Firms like the aforementioned ride-hailing giants, tooth-aligner SmileDirectClub (SDC), and social media wannabes Snapchat (SNAP) and Pinterest (PINS) will have a rough go in the years to come.

Two Bigger-than- the-Internet Tech Developments

M y first day working full-time This was the real kickoff of the Internet era on Wall Street, and within a few years, the first generation of Internet giants would go public. Yahoo was the first real Internet content company to go public in 1996, and then Amazon became the first real e-commerce company to go public in 1997. As I think back to that period, one of the ENRIQUE ABEYTA FINANCIAL ANALYST AND OWNER OF REVOLVER MAGAZINE on Wall Street was the day that Netscape went public – August 9, 1995.

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December 2019

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