Full steam ahead There are strong arguments on both sides of the fuel- switch issue, and California’s experience will become a litmus test for other states across the country that are watching the Golden State’s developments with keen interest. Across the Atlantic in Norway—where the sale of internal combustion engines will be phased out in 2025, and 80% of new cars are battery powered— people have accepted EVs with enthusiasm, according to a recent story in The New York Times: “...the air in Oslo, Norway’s capital, is measurably cleaner. The city is also quieter as noisier gasoline and diesel vehicles are scrapped. Oslo’s greenhouse gas emissions have fallen 30 percent since 2009, yet there has not been mass unemployment among gas station workers and the electrical grid has not collapsed. “Some lawmakers and corporate executives portray the fight against climate change as requiring grim sacrifice. ‘With E.V.s, it’s not like that,’ said Christina Bu, secretary general of the Norwegian E.V. Association, which represents owners. ‘It’s actually something that people embrace.’ ” Here in California, Newsom left no uncertainty in a speech late last year. “California isn’t waiting anymore,” he said. “Together with the legislature, California is taking the most aggressive action on climate our nation has ever seen. We’re cleaning the air we breathe, holding the big polluters accountable, and ushering in a new era for clean energy. That’s climate action done the California Way—and we’re not only doubling down, we’re just getting started.”
gas emissions associated with an electric vehicle over its lifetime are typically lower than those from an average gasoline-powered vehicle, even when accounting for manufacturing.” That looming strain on the state’s energy grid is yet another factor in this entire equation. As California gears up to meet the fuel-switch deadline, will there
be enough electricity to power all the new EVs? After all, state officials predict that 12.5 million EVs will be on the road by 2035. Those same officials are deflecting this concern, however, and using data to illustrate that California’s electricity grid won’t be severely strained. But with 15 times more electric cars expected on California’s roads by 2035, the amount of power they consume will grow exponentially. The California Energy Commission says the
“California isn’t waiting anymore. Together with the legislature, California is taking the most aggressive action on climate our nation has ever seen.” Gavin Newsom Governor of California
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demand will remain a fraction of all the power used during peak hours, jumping from 1% in 2022 to 5% in 2030 and 10% in 2035. “We’re confident that electricity will meet future demand, and we’re able to plan for it,” stated one commission official.
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IN YOUR CORNER ISSUE 14 | 2023
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