2025 NC Wildlife Action Plan

Appendix 5

Reference Document 5-2

Figure 12. This figure represents an example of how various scenarios can be linked to specific GWLs and different timescales and is taken from the NCA5, Figure 2.14 (Marvel et al. 2023). In this example, the IPCC AR6 assessed warming projections for four future scenarios, with projected years at which the 2°C (3.6°F) global warming level would be reached. For example, under a very high scenario (SSP5-8.5), models project reaching 2°C between 2033 and 2054, with an average estimate of 2042. Under a low scenario (SSP1-2.6), the 5% CI (confidence interval) range begins in 2041, but the average projection shows that warming would actually stay below 2°C.

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