Southeast Conservation Blueprint Summary for North Carolina
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Urban Growth The FUTURES urban growth model predicts the likelihood that an area will urbanize at every decade from 2020 to 2100. Developed areas from the 2021 National Landcover Database serve as the baseline for current urban areas. The model simulates landscape change based on trends in population growth, local development suitability factors, and an urban patch-growing algorithm. It considers environmental drivers like distance to floodplain, slope, and available infrastructure, and even socio-economic status. The probability of urbanization for each area reflects how many times it urbanized out of 50 model runs.
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226 miles
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Probability of urbanization by 2060 Urban in 2021
Very high likelihood of urbanization (>50% probability) High likelihood of urbanization (25 - 50% probability) Moderate likelihood of urbanization (2 - 25% probability) Not likely to urbanize
Created 11/20/2024 using the Southeast Conservation Blueprint Explorer
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