511 - Market Update Q3 2021

Product-to-Market Pathway

SUMMARY: Economic recovery in 2021 is increasingly threatened by rampantly increasing supply chain cost. Spiking prices for raw materials, labor shortages in manufacturing, and alarming rates of COVID reemergence are stubbornly challenging businesses across all industries and are defining the wildly volatile and unreliable global supply chain environment for the remainder of 2021.

Severity Scale

Low

Moderate

High

Factory-to-Port Outbound Logistics

Ocean Transport Inbound to North America

DC-to-Customer Outbound Logistics

Raw Materials

Manufacturing

Plastic resin cost increases have passed to manufacturers each month in 2021 and Paper-pulp and Aluminum supplies are constrained and

Coronavirus variants and pandemic limits on foreign workers are driving production shutdowns and labor shortages across several manufacturing regions.

Wide-spread delays and escalating costs for transporting freight from factory-to-port due to shipping container and handling equipment shortages. Yantian / Shenzhen port shut down in May due to COVID worsening global supply chain chaos.

Cargo berths on ships are extremely constrained, forcing premiums paid by shippers upwards of $20,000 per container load. On-time arrival averages remain below 40%, all-time

Continued severe congestion is driving

loading & unloading ‘dwell’ time for trucks at ports to 2X-normal rates and inland terminal log-jams, equipment shortages and wildfires are doubling rail trip times from port to destination across North America.

lows for this critical performance metric.

costs are up, significantly.

Prices paid for raw material inputs have increased across all major product substrates each month since the start of this year.

Raw Material

Affected Product Lines

Material Cost Rate of Change since January ‘21

Aluminum

Foil sheets, lids, wraps

20 – 30+%

Paper, Paper-Pulp and Paper Board Polypropylene, HDPE, LDPE, Resin, Polystyrene, PVC

Napkins, Placemats, Folded Takeout Boxes, Guest Checks, Register Rolls, Wipers, Towels, Filters, Packaging for all products

20-30+%

Cutlery, Cups & Lids, Takeout Packaging, Stirrers, Straws

10+%

Bagasse Fiber

Eco-friendly Takeout packaging and Cutlery

30+%

2

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