18
Highlights • Based on the forecasted load, firm generation capacity, and firm DSM, the projected subregional reserve margin remains well above 15 percent throughout the 10-year planning horizon. In addition, no adverse impacts to the reserve margins have been identified due to generation retirements. • Significant proposed gas pipeline projects (Sabal Trail Phases II and III) are expected to provide increased gas transportation capacity to peninsular Florida and be fully in-service in 2021. These projects will enhance fuel transportation reliability by increasing supply and delivery diversity for the FL-Peninsula subregion. Projected Demands, Resources, and Reserve Margins (Summer) Demand (MW) 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 Total Internal 49,286 49,026 49,778 50,073 50,726 51,107 51,742 52,474 53,175 53,175 Demand Response 2,906 2,951 3,008 3,053 3,099 3,146 3,193 3,238 3,285 3,285 Net Internal 46,380 46,075 46,770 47,020 47,627 47,961 48,549 49,236 49,890 49,890 Resources (MW) Anticipated 56,584 56,350 56,656 58,144 58,257 58,594 60,523 59,864 59,906 59,949 Prospective 57,115 56,881 57,187 58,675 58,788 59,115 61,044 60,384 60,427 60,470 Reserve Margins (%) Anticipated 22.00% 22.30% 21.14% 23.66% 22.32% 22.17% 24.66% 21.59% 20.08% 20.16% Prospective 23.15% 23.45% 22.27% 24.79% 23.43% 23.26% 25.74% 22.64% 21.12% 21.21%
SERC FL-Peninsula The SERC FL-Peninsula subregion is a summer peaking system that consists of the following Planning Coordinators: Duke Energy Florida, Florida Municipal Power Agency, Florida Power & Light Company, Florida Reliability Coordinating Council, Gainesville Regional Utilities, City of Homestead, JEA, Lakeland Electric, Orlando Utilities Commission, Seminole Electric Cooperative, City of Tallahassee, and Tampa Electric Company.
Existing On-Peak Generation (Summer)
Peak Capacity
Generation Type
MW
%
Biomass
117
0.22
Coal
6,743
12.91 73.41
Natural Gas
38,346
Hydro
44
0.08 6.94 0.59 4.67 0.00 1.17 0.00
Nuclear
3,625
Other
308
Petroleum
2,438
Pumped Storage
0
Solar Wind
611
0
Made with FlippingBook - Online magazine maker