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Election 1972

•MIKE KAISER

This brings to mind the emergence of Senator Hubert Humphrey. What makes Hubert run? If any- body can beat Nixon he is the one to do it. This is due to the rapport Humphrey has with most of the areas of traditional Democratic strength e eluding the South. This relationship is a product of more than twenty years of political service. Muskie, being from Maine, a state with virtually no large cities or significant Black anq working class communities, rarely found it necessary to establish any sort of alliances with these groups. Humphrey, on the other hand has made this the base for his support. As far as I'm concerned Wisconsin, the next major primary, should tell the story. McGovern is expected to do well because he has the support of much of the old McCarthy vote of 1968. In 1968 60 percent of the vote was polled by Eugene McCarthy. .Although the regular party machine originally liked Muskie, his poor primary showing will undoubtedly cost him their support to Humphrey. McGovern will probably continue to run in the primaries providing his campaign funds hold up. His continued strength should pull Humphrey or any other frontrunner to the left. With George Wallace probably running on a third party and dividing the right with Richard Nixon, the Democrats will have to move left. It should be quite interesting to see how Humphrey holds up and just who else might emerge as a possible contender for the Democratic nomination.

Over the past two weeks, the race for the Democratic nomination has literally taken a 180 degree turn. Up until the New Hampshire primary Senator Edmund Muskie of Maine appeared to be the front unner. His popularity however was superficial mainly because he seemingly represnted the most moderate viewpoints of all the nominees. This, incidentally, coincides with the masses of voters as well as the party regulars. Then came New Hampshire. We saw Muskie capture 49 percent of the popular vote . However, George McGovern polled a strong 37 percent. Nobody in his right mind would have predicted that McGovern was going to finish a strong second. At that point Muskie's popularity started to wane. One might say that a repitition of 1968 had taken place. By the time Florida had come around Muskie was really campaigning with ope hand tied behind his back. Everyone knew Wallace was going to win strongly because busing was the major issue (mainly because Wallace made it so). Muskie's strategy was naturally to finish a reasonable second.. But things didn't work out that way at all. Wallace won with his 42 percent but Muskie did not finish second. He ran a poor third behind Hubert Humphrey of Minnesota who piled up 18 percent of the vote. The results of the Florida primary were sig- nificant because it completely re-evaluated the A,osition of the frontrunners in that Muskie had ~opped down to second in the popularity polls behind Hubert Humphrey.

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STRAIT 23 MARCH I 972

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