APPENDIX X: ONLINE AND CENTERS ENROLLMENT TRENDS The table below displays headcount for centers and online by service campus for Fall 2014 through Fall 2017, with headcounts based on a constant average growth rate provided up until 2024.
Term Year
Constant Average Forecasting Model
Centers + Online Headcount
% growth to next year
Average % growth
2012 2076 2082 2155 2205 2257 2309 2363 2418 2474 2532
Fall 2014 Fall 2015 Fall 2016 Fall 2017 Fall 2018 Fall 2019 Fall 2020 Fall 2021 Fall 2022 Fall 2023 Fall 2024
3.18% 0.29% 3.51% 2.33% 2.33% 2.33% 2.33% 2.33% 2.33% 2.33% 2.33%
2.33% 2.33% 2.33%
• *The cells highlighted in yellow would be achieved through a Constant Average Model , if no interventions were implemented (by taking the average % growth over the past three fallquarters, 2.33%). For example: Fall 2018=((2155*2.33%)+2155) • Therefore, SE goals for the centers + online could expect these forecasted headcounts assuming no interventions take place and that the average growth rate of 2.33% for each fall quarter is appropriate. • Service campus headcounts are unduplicated, however students may be enrolled in courses at centers other than their designated service campus (students with an Ellensburg service campus could also be enrolled in courses at centers/online). • The compound growth rate percentage from fall 2017 to fall 2024 would be 17.5% using this constant average forecasting model (no intervention).
7/18/2018 WORKING DOCUMENT Page 39
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