UK impacts from BPR changes are significant across all regions
• Investment: survey responses reveal some regional disparities, but analysis suggests that reductions in investment are forecast to be most severe in Yorkshire and the Humber and the East of England where businesses anticipate an average decrease of approximately 17%. • Turnover: the East of England again emerges as one of the most affected areas, with respondents forecasting an average decline of 10.6%. The West Midlands and East Midlands also report notable expected losses, with average reductions of 10.3% and 10.2% respectively, suggesting a widespread strain on revenue streams across the Midlands. • Employment: responses indicate particular challenges across northern regions of the UK. Businesses in Scotland expect employment numbers to fall by 10.4% on average, while the North West and North East of England report similar declines of 10.2% and 10.1%, respectively. Overall, the survey highlights a pattern: while impacts are felt nationwide, in certain regions – particularly in the North and East – businesses are expecting sharper declines in investment, turnover, and employment. The modelling in Section 3 takes these regional differences into account to assess the economic implications for local areas in terms of Gross Value Added (GVA) and Full-Time Equivalent (FTE) jobs.
Figure 5: Regional change in investment, turnover and employment in reaction to BPR changes
Investment
Turnover
Employees
-15.5%
-7.2%
-17.1%
-10.6%
-8.6%
-10.4%
Source: CBI Economics Survey (2025)
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