Taxing Futures

PARLIAMENTARY CONSTITUENCIES WITH THE LARGEST CHANGE IN FTE AS A PERCENTAGE OF LOCAL FTE

ESTIMATED FTE JOBS LOST

PARLIAMENTARY CONSTITUENCIES WITH THE LARGEST CHANGE IN GVA AS A PERCENTAGE OF LOCAL GVA

ESTIMATED GVA LOSS (£M)

Aberdeen North

-52.7

Birmingham Northfield

-488

Aberdeen South

-55.4

St Austell and Newquay

-379

Birmingham Northfield

-20.4

North Cornwall

-409

Whitehaven and Workington

-30.9

South -East Cornwall

-264

St Austell and Newquay

-20.8

Whitehaven and Workington

-470

Hemel Hempstead

-53.2

St Ives

-294

North-West Leicestershire

-44.6

Camborne and Redruth

-381

Aberdeenshire North and Moray East

-23.7

Carlisle

-560

Blyth and Ashington

-16.2

Hemel Hempstead

-937

Carlisle

-34.8

North Northumberland

-301

Source: CBI Economics Survey (2025)

% change in GVA -1.03

Case Study: Scotland

As much as 80% of Scotland’s land mass is under agricultural production and exports of the food and drink sector are worth £5 billion per annum. Policy changes affecting this sector will, therefore, have outsized repercussions in the country and three Scottish constituencies feature amongst the top 10 affected by GVA in the UK. Numerous business owners told us that they will have to slow or reduce investment because of the changes to BPR and APR. One said: “[There is] no incentive to further grow or develop the business and no incentive to take on further employees.”

-0.32%

Source: CBI Economics Survey (2025)

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