Taxing Futures

4. REGIONAL AND LOCAL IMPACTS

Changes to BPR and APR are expected to impact every part of the UK economy

National-level analysis shows that changes to BPR and APR will have widespread impacts. However, local- level data highlights just how significantly communities and supply chains supported by family-owned businesses may be affected. These businesses are often deeply embedded in their local areas – not only providing direct employment, but also sustaining local supply chains, contractors, and services. As a result, the impact extends well beyond individual estates or balance sheets. The regional and constituency level data indicate where the greatest vulnerabilities lie – in areas home to strategically significant firms that have vital community impacts. In some places, these changes risk amplifying regional inequalities and undermining the Government’s objectives of reducing regional inequality and increasing economic resilience. This local lens demonstrates the importance of BPR and APR to the unique business model of family ownership. The cumulative, structural impacts will be felt not just by a few business owners, but by entire communities where these businesses are based – reflected in job losses, reduced investment, and lower economic activity, with very real consequences for opportunity and prosperity. The following tables show the estimated GVA and FTE job losses across UK regions associated with the combined changes to BPR and APR and the top 10 parliamentary constituencies estimated to see the largest change in GVA and FTE jobs relative to that economy.

REGION OF THE UK

CHANGE IN GVA ¬£M®

CHANGE IN FTE JOBS

East Midlands

-£1,068

-17,183

East of England

-£1,532

-22,439

London

-£2,032

-20,063

North East

-£536

-8,479

North West

-£1,596

-23,658

Northern Ireland

-£344

-5,369

Scotland

-£1,216

-16,221

South East

-£2,094

-25,942

South West

-£1,272

-18,655

Wales

-£580

-9,715

West Midlands

-£1,387

-21,927

Yorkshire & the Humber

-£1,204

-18,852

Source: CBI Economics Survey (2025)

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