لباب-العدد 32

التطبيـع، وتدهـور المكانـة الدوليـة لإسـرائيل، وتأثـر البيئـة الإسـتراتيجية لعلاقاتهـا مـع الولايـات المتحـدة. وتخلـص الدراسـة إلـى أن التحـول مـن إسـتراتيجية تقـوم لـم يـؤد إلـى تعزيـز أمـن إسـرائيل " الأمـن الدائـم " على الـردع إلـى أخـرى تقـوم على بقـدر مـا أعـاد تشـكيل طبيعـة التهديـدات التـي تواجههـا، ورفـع كلفـة إدارتهـا يـًا للتحـولات التـي � مـًا بذلـك تفسـيرًًا نظر �ِِّ على المسـتويين، الداخلـي والخارجـي، مقد طـرأت على إسـتراتيجية الأمـن القومـي الإسـرائيلي بعـد السـابع مـن أكتوبـر. إسـرائيل، إسـتراتيجية الأمـن القومـي، السـابع مـن أكتوبـر، الكلمـات المفتاحيـة: طوفـان الأقصـى، الأمـن الدائـم، الـردع، الحـدث الحـرج، الاسـتعمار الاسـتيطاني. Abstract This study examines the transformations in Israel’s national security strategy following Hamas’s Operation Tufan Al-Aqsa on 7 October 2023. It seeks to answer the following central question: How did the 7 October attack reshape the core principles of Israel’s national security strategy, and what were the implications of this transformation? The study argues that 7 October constituted a critical juncture that prompted Israel to reassess the strategic principles underpinning its national security doctrine since the establishment of the state, marking a shift from a strategy centred on deterrence to one guided by the concept of permanent security. To explain this transformation, the study draws on the critical juncture approach, in addition to the literature on national security and settler-colonial studies. Methodologically, it employs a qualitative analytical approach based on tracing patterns of Israeli behaviour after 7 October, analysing official discourse and Israeli policy documents, and examining assessments produced by Israeli security elites and research institutes. The study concludes that Israel has introduced fundamental changes to its national security strategy. These include replacing deterrence with the concept of permanent security, downgrading the traditional principle of decisive victory in favour of pursuing absolute victory, and diminishing the role of intelligence warning and political avenues for conflict resolution while elevating military force as the primary instrument for achieving security. The findings further suggest that, despite producing operational and tactical gains, these strategic shifts have failed to achieve Israel’s declared strategic objectives. Instead, they have contributed to the reproduction of the threat environment, the emergence of new sources of insecurity, and rising military, economic and social costs of warfare. They have also reduced prospects for

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