1 Executive Summary The City of Fort Worth continues to experience strong population and employment growth, this growth presents an opportunity to strengthen the City’s Core Area and Downtown as economic, cultural, and mobility anchors, while also posing challenges related to congestion, accessibility, and long-term infrastructure capacity. The Moving a Million (M1M) and Connecting the Core (CtC) initiatives represent a coordinated effort to proactively address these challenges by aligning land use, transportation investments, and mobility strategies with the City’s long-range vision. This technical memorandum documents a build-out scenario analysis undertaken to evaluate how alternative growth patterns, targeted roadway investments, and enhanced transit strategies could shape Fort Worth’s long-term transportation system. The analysis explores various future scenarios to understand tradeoffs, assess system performance, and identify the types of investments required to support the City’s desired growth trajectory. The results provide a robust, data-driven foundation to inform long-range planning, project prioritization, and policy decisions. 1.1 Planning Context and Approach Regional travel demand models, including the NCTCOG 2050 Mobility Plan, provide a consistent framework for evaluating long-term transportation needs across North Central Texas. However, these models are primarily designed to reflect adopted plans and historic growth trends and are generally more responsive to greenfield development than to redevelopment and infill within established urban areas. As Fort Worth advances policies and initiatives that emphasize compact growth, reinvestment in the Core, and enhanced multimodal options, additional analysis is required to understand how such strategies may influence travel demand and infrastructure performance. To address this need, a scenario planning approach was applied that allows the City to test alternative assumptions and assess their implications in a transparent and structured manner. The analysis focuses on three primary dimensions that strongly influence travel outcomes: 1. the distribution of population and employment growth, 2. the configuration of the roadway network, and 3. the role of transit in supporting Core-focused development. 1.2 Scenarios Evaluated Four scenarios were evaluated, each building incrementally on the previous condition: • Baseline 2050 reflects NCTCOG’s adopted 2050 demographic, roadway, and transit assumptions and serves as the reference condition. • Future Scenario #1 – Acting Our Size (AOS) reallocates a greater share of future population and employment to the Core Area and Downtown, based on national benchmarking, planned development activity, and major local planning initiatives, while maintaining the baseline network and mode-share assumptions. • Future Scenario #2 – AOS + M1M Network adds the M1M and CtC priority roadway projects to test how targeted connectivity and capacity improvements perform under a Core-focused
www.MovingaMillion.org | transportation@fortworthtexas.gov page 2
Made with FlippingBook - professional solution for displaying marketing and sales documents online